DeFi TVL Halved and Ethereum’s Market Share Declines: How Are RWAs Reshaping On-Chain Capital Dynamics?

Markets
更新済み: 2026/05/26 09:37

The on-chain financial ecosystem underwent a significant adjustment in 2026. Since decentralized finance (DeFi) total value locked (TVL) peaked at around $164 billion in October 2025, it has dropped to approximately $82 billion—a decline of nearly 50%.

This change needs to be examined from two perspectives. TVL is calculated based on the market value of underlying assets, not the quantity of assets locked. The ETH price reached nearly $4,800 at the cycle’s peak and later fell back to around $1,600. Even if no users actively withdrew liquidity, TVL denominated in ETH would contract mechanically as asset valuations compress. For example, as of May 18, 2026, Ethereum’s DeFi TVL dropped from $106.687 billion on January 15 to about $63 billion—a nearly 41% decrease in just four months.

Why has Ethereum’s dominance in DeFi TVL fallen from 63.5% to about 54%?

Ethereum’s share of total DeFi TVL has shown a persistent downward trend. From 63.5% at the start of 2025, it declined to around 54% by May 2026—a drop of 9.5 percentage points in 16 months. At the price peak in early 2026, its share briefly approached 68%, but has since retreated to roughly 53.57%, marking a decrease of more than 14 percentage points.

This shift reflects a structural redistribution of capital across different public blockchains. Competing chains like Solana, BNB Chain, Sui, and Aptos attracted substantial new users and assets in the first quarter of 2026. While Ethereum still serves as the core settlement layer for on-chain assets, user interactions are increasingly migrating toward heterogeneous chains with lower fees and faster confirmations. The decline in Ethereum’s DeFi TVL share doesn’t signal the weakening of a single chain, but rather an expansion in the range of capital allocation options on-chain.

RWA Surpasses $34 Billion to Become a New Capital Pool for On-Chain Assets

As DeFi TVL continues to decline, the real-world asset (RWA) sector is expanding at an astonishing pace. By May 2026, the total market size of on-chain tokenized RWAs reached between $31 billion and $34 billion, up several times from about $5.4–6 billion at the start of 2025. Throughout 2025, the RWA market grew by more than 260%, and in just over four months of 2026, cumulative growth has already exceeded 44%.

Tokenized treasury bonds are the main driver of this growth, with the market size surpassing $15.35 billion in May 2026. The tokenized private credit market exceeded $4.5 billion, representing a year-over-year increase of more than ninefold. This shift signals a clear trend in capital flows: funds are accelerating out of purely crypto-native cycles and into RWA assets that deliver real-world yields.

To What Extent Have Security Incidents Accelerated Structural Migration of On-Chain Capital?

Since the start of 2026, DeFi protocols have lost more than $750 million to exploit attacks. The most notable incident occurred on April 18, 2026, when the cross-chain bridge of the liquidity restaking protocol KelpDAO was attacked, resulting in the theft of about $292 million. Attackers used forged rsETH as collateral to deposit into Aave for leveraged borrowing, causing approximately $200 million in bad debt for Aave.

This event exposed a widespread systemic vulnerability: according to research by Dune Analytics, about 47% of LayerZero-powered omnichain applications still use the same 1-of-1 exploit configuration, exposing assets worth over $4.5 billion. Core protocols like KelpDAO and Lombard subsequently announced migration from LayerZero to Chainlink CCIP. The chain reaction from security incidents is forcing a reshuffle of trust in on-chain infrastructure, with cross-chain security frameworks shifting from "efficiency first" to "security first."

What Structural Turning Points Are Emerging in On-Chain Capital Flows?

Several structural signals are emerging amid the current market adjustment. The total stablecoin market cap climbed to about $323.4 billion in early May 2026—a significant increase from 2025. However, the amount of stablecoins locked in DeFi protocols hasn’t expanded in tandem. This means a large volume of stablecoins is currently "waiting on the sidelines," neither deposited in lending markets for yield nor participating in liquidity pools for trading.

At the same time, the total value locked in liquidity restaking protocols fell from a peak of about $31 billion in August 2024 to roughly $11 billion now. EigenCloud’s TVL dropped from about $22 billion to $5.5 billion over the same period. The pace of deleveraging in the restaking "bubble" has exceeded expectations, reflecting a shift in on-chain capital from high-leverage, high-risk yield strategies toward asset allocations that prioritize principal safety.

Does the Structural Consolidation in DeFi Signal the Start of a New Shake-Up?

The decline in DeFi TVL shouldn’t be interpreted simply as industry contraction. Three main factors are driving this pullback: the mechanical shrinkage of TVL due to broad declines in crypto asset prices; intensified deposit competition and suppressed yields following the cooling of speculative fervor; and persistent security incidents undermining confidence and prompting risk-sensitive capital to seek lower-volatility options.

On-chain capital preferences are shifting from "speculative yield chasing" to "anchored, stable returns." RWA yields are derived from cash flows of tokenized real-world assets like US Treasuries, rather than purely on-chain token incentives. The yield spread between DeFi and Treasuries has narrowed to nearly zero, and at times has even inverted. When on-chain yields flatten to levels close to the risk-free rate, capital naturally gravitates toward assets with greater transparency and lower risk tiers.

Summary

DeFi TVL has fallen from $164 billion to $82 billion, and Ethereum’s share of on-chain TVL has dropped from 63.5% to about 54%. Together, these two key indicators paint a picture of structural adjustment underway in on-chain capital. The driving factors are multi-layered: falling asset prices have caused mechanical contraction in TVL valuations; the RWA sector, with a scale exceeding $34 billion, has become a major outlet for institutional capital; and cross-chain security incidents have exposed systemic vulnerabilities in industry infrastructure, prompting a reshaping of trust frameworks. The DeFi leverage narrative, exemplified by liquidity restaking, is undergoing a deleveraging cycle, while asset classes anchored to real-world yields, such as RWAs, are seeing sustained growth in on-chain deployment.

For industry participants, understanding the essence of this phase means distinguishing between cyclical adjustments and structural transformations. The former may be corrected as the market recovers, while the latter could permanently reshape the direction and logic of on-chain capital flows and allocation.

FAQ

Q1: What is the current exact value of DeFi TVL?

According to market data, DeFi total value locked peaked at around $164 billion in October 2025 and has since dropped to about $82 billion—a decline of nearly 50%. As of May 2026, Ethereum’s DeFi TVL fell from about $106.7 billion on January 15 to around $63 billion.

Q2: Why is Ethereum’s DeFi TVL share continuing to decline?

Ethereum’s share of total DeFi TVL fell from 63.5% at the start of 2025 to around 54% in May 2026. The main reasons are capital redistribution among competing chains like Solana, BNB Chain, and Sui, as well as the rapid expansion of the RWA sector, which has diverted some on-chain capital.

Q3: How large is the current RWA market?

As of May 2026, the total market size of on-chain tokenized RWAs has reached between $31 billion and $34 billion, with the tokenized treasury bond market alone surpassing $15.35 billion.

Q4: What are the limitations of TVL as a health metric for DeFi?

TVL has three main limitations: First, it may involve "double counting" due to repeated collateralization across protocols; second, it fluctuates dramatically with token price changes, even if user behavior remains essentially unchanged; third, it doesn’t directly reflect protocol revenue, profitability, or user retention.

Q5: How much have DeFi security incidents impacted market confidence?

Since the start of 2026, DeFi protocols have lost over $750 million to exploit attacks. The KelpDAO incident exposed a widespread single-point-of-failure risk in cross-chain message verification frameworks, affecting assets worth more than $4.5 billion. Multiple core protocols initiated cross-chain infrastructure migrations following the event.

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