US Stocks: High-level consolidation, awaiting catalysts Following yesterday's rebound, US stocks are consolidating at higher levels today. The market has digested the US-Iran easing expectations, with a lack of new upside catalysts in the near term. This week, focus on Core PCE data (the Fed's most watched inflation indicator); if data exceeds expectations, rate cut expectations may be delayed again, putting pressure on US stocks.
Gold: Stabilizing after pullback Risk premium giveback is mostly complete, with gold finding support around $2,900. Medium to long-term fundamentals (central bank gold purchases + de-dollarization) remain intact; pullback zones present configuration opportunities. If US-Iran negotiations hit a snag, gold will rebound quickly.
Crude Oil: Testing lows Geopolitical easing pressures oil prices, but OPEC+ production cut floor remains in place. WTI has strong support in the $75-78 range, with limited downside room. Watch EIA crude inventory data this week.
US Dollar: Narrow-range consolidation Market awaits PCE guidance; the dollar index trades sideways in the 103-104 range. Direction depends on inflation data—if PCE is elevated, the dollar strengthens; if in line with expectations, the dollar weakens.
Bond Market: Stable 10-year US Treasury yields maintain 4.2-4.3% range, with divergent market views on rate cut trajectory; bond market enters wait-and-see mode.
Today's Core Judgment:
Market enters the "data-driven" stage, with this week's PCE being the biggest variable. Before data publication, various assets consolidate with unclear direction; maintaining light positions and observing is the optimal strategy.
TradFi Market Perspective｜3/25
US Stocks: High-level consolidation, awaiting catalysts
Following yesterday's rebound, US stocks are consolidating at higher levels today. The market has digested the US-Iran easing expectations, with a lack of new upside catalysts in the near term. This week, focus on Core PCE data (the Fed's most watched inflation indicator); if data exceeds expectations, rate cut expectations may be delayed again, putting pressure on US stocks.
Gold: Stabilizing after pullback
Risk premium giveback is mostly complete, with gold finding support around $2,900. Medium to long-term fundamentals (central bank gold purchases + de-dollarization) remain intact; pullback zones present configuration opportunities. If US-Iran negotiations hit a snag, gold will rebound quickly.
Crude Oil: Testing lows
Geopolitical easing pressures oil prices, but OPEC+ production cut floor remains in place. WTI has strong support in the $75-78 range, with limited downside room. Watch EIA crude inventory data this week.
US Dollar: Narrow-range consolidation
Market awaits PCE guidance; the dollar index trades sideways in the 103-104 range. Direction depends on inflation data—if PCE is elevated, the dollar strengthens; if in line with expectations, the dollar weakens.
Bond Market: Stable
10-year US Treasury yields maintain 4.2-4.3% range, with divergent market views on rate cut trajectory; bond market enters wait-and-see mode.
Today's Core Judgment:
Market enters the "data-driven" stage, with this week's PCE being the biggest variable. Before data publication, various assets consolidate with unclear direction; maintaining light positions and observing is the optimal strategy.
#Gate正式接入Polymarket #加密市场回涨 #BTC突破71000美元