On May 28, WTI crude futures fell below the 90 US dollar mark, trading near 89 US dollars, with Brent crude also moving lower. After the White House urgently denied that a US-Iran memorandum of understanding had been reached, markets did not reprice war risks but continued to bet that the situation would not spiral out of control. Investor focus is shifting from supply shocks to demand suppression under high interest rates. Oil prices are under pressure in the short term, but low inventories suggest limited downside.

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