Author: Haseeb ＞|＜, Dragonfly Partner Translation: Deep Tide TechFlow LPs sometimes ask me who I consider the most outstanding venture capitalists in the crypto space. I've thought about this a lot. Since I started engaging in crypto venture investing, I've always aspired to be the best. I am passionate about competition, and investing is the purest form of competition. Only one person can win a deal, only one can pick the winner of this cycle. But when you honestly examine and carefully calculate, you'll find that three people have already proven themselves as the "Greatest of All Time" (GOAT) in crypto VC. This might sound a bit like bragging (it is), and it may not be very appealing to those who are not in crypto VC. But I am a crypto VC. This article is dedicated to those of us who have made this our lifelong career.

Trump Warns of Impeachment if Republicans Fail to Win Midterms In a recent speech to House Republicans, former President Donald Trump issued a stark warning: failure to secure midterm election victories could lead to his impeachment. Trump emphasized the importance of the upcoming elections,

Author: Frank, PANews Recently, the popularity of prediction markets has continued to rise, especially with smart money’s arbitrage strategies being regarded as the gold standard. Many have started to imitate and experiment, as if a new gold rush is beginning. But behind the hype, how effective are these seemingly clever and reasonable strategies? How exactly are they executed? PANews conducted an in-depth analysis of 27,000 trades made by the top ten profit-generating whales on Polymarket in December, exploring the true nature of their profits. After analysis, PANews found that although many of these "smart money" operations involved implementing hedging arbitrage strategies, there is a significant difference between this hedging and the simple hedging described on social media. The actual strategies are much more complex, involving more than just straightforward "yes" or "no" combinations, but rather making full use of rules like "over/under" and "win/lose" in sports betting.

_New Polymarket account bets $37K on China invading Taiwan by 2026, with a potential $289K payout if correct._ A new Polymarket account, Caspersmc, has placed a $37,000 bet that China will invade Taiwan by 2026. If the bet is successful, the trader stands to win $289,000. The large wager has d

Author: Frank, PANews Recently, the popularity of prediction markets has continued to rise, especially with smart money's arbitrage strategies being regarded as the gold standard. Many have started to imitate and experiment, as if a new wave of gold rush has begun. But behind the hype, how effective are these seemingly clever and reasonable strategies? How exactly are they executed? PANews conducted an in-depth analysis of 27,000 transactions made by the top ten profit-generating whales on Polymarket in December, exploring the true nature of their profits. After analysis, PANews found that although many of these "smart money" operations involved hedging arbitrage strategies, this hedging is significantly different from the simple hedging described on social media. The actual strategies are more complex, far from just a simple "yes" or "no" combination, but instead make full use of rules like "over/under" and "win/lose" in sports betting.

In-depth analysis of Polymarket: 27,000 trades by the top ten profit whales in December reveal the truth behind "smart money": the extremely high win rate is masked by a large number of open "zombie orders," with actual win rates only slightly above random; hedging arbitrage is far more complex than imagined, and blind imitation can lead to losses. (Background summary: Heaven, Earth, Humanity—why did the prediction market only explode after nearly 40 years?) (Additional background: 26 predictions about the development of prediction markets in 2026) Table of Contents 1. SeriouslySirius: 73% win rate masked by "zombie orders," and the complex quantitative hedging network 2. DrPufferfish: Turning small probabilities into large ones, the ultimate "profit-loss ratio" management art 3. gmanas: High-frequency automated assembly line operations 4. Hunter sim

After ChatGPT swept the globe, OpenAI is restructuring its team to focus on developing voice AI and hardware devices called "Gumdrop." It is rumored that the device will resemble "a pen" or a portable speaker, and is currently in the design phase, with a potential release as early as 2026. Meanwhile, the contract manufacturing partner has shifted from China’s Luxshare to Foxconn. Voice has become a battleground, and OpenAI announced a new generation of AI voice models in Q1 this year. According to The Information, given that the OpenAI team believes voice is more closely related to daily life than language, the company plans to release a new audio language model in the first quarter of 2026. They are consolidating engineering, product, and research teams into a single department to focus on improving the accuracy and response speed of voice models. Voice functionality has always been a key focus for competitors, from Siri, Alexa to

The 2026 New Year VIP Exclusive Feedback Event will be held from January 2 to 8. VIP users can earn USDT gacha by completing tasks, with a maximum of 888 USDT available to win. The event includes recharge, financial management, and trading tasks. The number of gacha draws is limited, and participants must complete identity verification and registration.

Author: Frank, PANews Recently, the popularity of prediction markets has continued to rise, especially with smart money's arbitrage strategies being regarded as the gold standard. Many have begun to imitate and experiment, as if a new wave of gold rush has started. But behind the hype, how effective are these seemingly clever and reasonable strategies? How exactly are they executed? PANews conducted an in-depth analysis of 27,000 transactions by the top ten profit-making whales on Polymarket in December to uncover the true nature of their profits. After analysis, PANews found that although many of these "smart money" operations employed hedging arbitrage strategies, this hedging differs significantly from the simple hedging described on social media. The actual strategies are more complex, involving not just straightforward "yes" or "no" combinations, but rather utilizing rules like "over/under" and "win/lose" in sports events to perform combined hedging.

John Deaton highlights the significance of his Jan. 1 lawsuit against the SEC, asserting it protects the crypto community and reshapes U.S. crypto law. With Ripple's legal win, RLUSD stablecoin showcases impressive growth and adoption, indicating a promising future for innovation in the sector.

Ripple has spent years being tied to XRP and cross-border payments, but RLUSD might quietly become the product that matters most in the long run. Not because it’s exciting or controversial, but because it actually fits how financial systems get adopted in the real world. RLUSD isn’t trying to win h

Trader pension-usdt.eth faced a $3.4M loss after closing a short $ETH position, despite a successful trading history with an 83% win rate and $21.84M in profits. The recent loss emphasizes the risks of aggressive trading strategies amid market volatility.

Written by: Zhang Feng Under the dual pressure of information explosion and trust crisis, the concept of "Staked Media" proposed by a16z acts like a powerful booster shot, attempting to reshape media credibility through blockchain technology and economic games. The core logic of this idea is clear and enticing: media outlets or individuals stake a certain amount of cryptocurrency before publishing content; if the content is falsified, the assets are forfeited; if it is truthful and accurate, the staked assets are returned and possibly rewarded. This model combines economic incentives with fact verification, aiming to build an ecosystem where "telling the truth is more profitable." However, when we delve into the complexity and social nature of truth production in media, we find that relying solely on smart contract-based staking and on-chain arbitration is far from sufficient to solve the century-old trust issues in media. 1. Staking Mechanism: An Idealized Game Design From a game theory perspective...

Author: sysls Editor: Luffy, Foresight News I am not a stock picking expert. I believe in a broad, low-win-rate (≤53%) betting strategy, but I am willing to bet everything on one point: long-term speculation will be the mainstream socio-economic theme for the next century. This also explains why people over 40 advise you to focus on your job and seek a raise, while people of other ages ignore this advice and pursue any opportunity that can make them get rich quickly. The best product to sell to this group of people is hope. Once you understand this, you can see why various casinos (including decentralized exchanges, prediction markets, etc.) have emerged, and why trading mentors, business celebrities, paid courses, and of course, paid Substack columns are so popular. The Beginning of the Dilemma Trapped in captivity, not

Most online casinos feel ancient. Endless forms, misleading bonuses buried in fine print, sluggish payouts that drain the excitement from every win. Plump.com is the antidote. This is a modern, agile online casino engineered for one purpose: sign up in seconds, play instantly, cash out fast, and

In traditional financial frameworks, options seller strategies are regarded as effective ways to generate scalable returns and manage market volatility. Their core lies in risk transfer and the realization of time value. By breaking down three strategies—selling puts (Sell Put), vertical credit spreads, and ratio credit spreads—we will conduct quantitative analysis of their win rates, margin efficiency, and risk thresholds under extreme market conditions. This helps market participants establish a rigorous risk management system in the highly volatile crypto markets, enabling you to shift from a gambler to a bookmaker, collecting steady rent through options. Risk and Volatility Transfer: The Profit Logic of Options Sellers In the derivatives market, options sellers essentially serve as "volatility insurance" providers. According to historical data, about 80% of options

Dragonfly partner Rob Hadick believes that in the future of asset tokenization, there will not be just one blockchain winning, but multiple chains coexisting and developing independently. Ethereum will dominate the financial sector, while Solana focuses on high-speed transactions. Market demand will drive the division of labor and collaboration among different blockchains, promoting overall development rather than simple competition.

Bitcoin Options Expiry Approaching as Traders Brace for Year-End Outcomes The approaching year-end Bitcoin options expiration is prompting careful reassessment among investors. With over $30 billion in open interest set to expire, traders are closely watching key price levels that could influence m

Bitwise Asset Management released 10 crypto predictions for 2026, outlining a forcefully bullish, bitcoin-centered outlook driven by ETF demand, institutional adoption, regulatory progress, supply constraints, and a shifting market structure favoring sustained upside momentum ahead. Bitwise

Bitcoin Options Expiry Approaching as Traders Brace for Year-End Outcomes The approaching year-end Bitcoin options expiration is prompting careful reassessment among investors. With over $30 billion in open interest set to expire, traders are closely watching key price levels that could influence m

In the investment market, many people have a misconception: As long as you are smart enough and diligent enough, you can beat the market. But the reality is quite the opposite. A large amount of data and long-term results repeatedly prove— What determines investment outcomes is not the "intelligence level" of a single judgment, but the overall system's "stability." And this is precisely where AI quantification truly changes the market structure. 1. The real disadvantage of ordinary investors has never been information In the past decade, information barriers have been greatly weakened: Market data is almost publicly available in real-time Strategic ideas are everywhere Tutorials, courses, and opinions flood the market But why do most people still find it difficult to achieve stable profits? There is only one reason: Information does not equal execution ability. The biggest disadvantage of ordinary investors is reflected in three aspects: Inability to stick to the same strategy long-term Easily retreat during drawdowns

The listing of a Solana ETF on Wall Street is widely viewed as a major win for Solana supporters and a further signal of TradFi’s growing acceptance of crypto assets. Since launch, Solana ETFs have attracted strong institutional inflows, with four active funds drawing more than $600 million in

ByteDance is reported to plan to invest 160 billion RMB in AI infrastructure by 2026, with "half of the budget" allocated for purchasing a large number of Nvidia H200 chips, striving to maintain AI competitiveness under the blockade of the Trump 2.0 era. (Previous summary: The US version of TikTok is officially sold: three major US investment groups including Oracle take over, while ByteDance retains the brain. Did Trump win?) (Background: 28-year-old retired "ByteDance's Guo Yu", 34 years old reveals the truth: financial freedom is not true freedom) Table of Contents The capital scale is only 1/10 of Silicon Valley. 85 billion RMB shopping spree H200 Doubao and overseas data centers double-line computing power According to the Financial Times, in the winter of 2025, one year after Trump returned to the White House and as Washington's blockade on the Chinese tech industry intensified, ByteDance announced plans for January next year.

CoinEx Research predicts a decline in altcoin rallies, with liquidity favoring blue-chip cryptocurrencies. While they forecast Bitcoin could reach $180,000 by 2026, veteran analyst Peter Brandt anticipates a fall to $25,000 before a potential peak in 2029. Bitcoin's performance is mixed, with current downturns in a typically strong quarter.

Neo's "Grouchy, Grinchy, Grumpy AI Christmas" game challenges players to identify a stolen gift by questioning a rude AI. Players use their wallet activity to determine question limits and can win from a growing prize pool by solving the mystery by December 30.

Solana built what many chains promised but never delivered. It shipped speed at scale. Blocks move fast. Fees stay low. The base layer works. On raw throughput, Solana already won. That win, however, came with a cost that keeps compounding. What broke wasn’t the chain’s ability to process

On December 21, on-chain data monitoring showed that "Brother Ma Ji" Huang Li Cheng has closed all his Bitcoin long orders and HYPE long orders. As of now, Brother Ma Ji has made 15 trades in a single week, all of which are long orders, with 12 profitable trades and 3 losing trades, resulting in a win rate of 80%. However, the overall position has a net loss of about 1.46 million USD for the week. Brother Ma Ji has also added 10x ZEC long orders worth 390,000 USD, with an entry price of 439.24 USD.

Cardano Founder Charles Hoskinson defends network capabilities.  This blockchain is a vision without compromises.  Hoskinson is certain that in the long-term, Cardano will win. One of the most bullish altcoins this cycle includes Cardano’s ADA. This is because the blockchain has

Original: Odaily Planet Daily Author: Azuma On the early morning of December 16, the stablecoin giant Circle officially announced that it has completed the agreement signing, acquiring the core talent and technology of the initial development team of cross-chain protocol Axelar Network, Interop Labs, to advance Circle's cross-chain infrastructure strategy and help Circle achieve seamless, scalable interoperability on its core products such as Arc and CCTP. This is another typical case of industry giants acquiring high-quality teams, seemingly a win-win situation, but the key issue lies in—Circle explicitly mentioned in the acquisition announcement that this transaction only involves the Interop Labs team and its proprietary intellectual property, while Axelar Network

A solo miner successfully mined Bitcoin block 928351 by renting hashpower for under $100, earning a reward of 3.152 BTC worth about $271,000. Bitcoin has regained support at $85,000, with resistance at $89,000 to $90,000, indicating market strength.

Crypto exchange BitMEX announces the "Year-End Gala" trading competition, offering a total prize pool of up to 3.5 BTC, with multiple leaderboards including trading volume, profit and loss, and return on investment, allowing traders to compete for generous rewards. (Background: BitMEX launched the "BitMEX Legend" event and set up a 5 BTC (BTC) prize pool to celebrate its 11th anniversary) (Additional background: BitMEX announced a major upgrade to spot trading fees: a 50% reduction and rebates of up to 0.015%) _(This article is a promotional piece, written and provided by BitMEX, and does not represent the stance of Dongqu or constitute investment, purchase, or sale advice. Please see the disclaimer at the end of the article.)_ As the safest Crypto exchange, BitMEX announces the launch of the "Year-End Gala" trading competition

TikTok's parent company ByteDance has sold over 80% of its US assets, retaining approximately 19.9% of the shares. US-based alliances such as Oracle, Silver Lake Capital, and MGX supported by the UAE hold 50%. (Background recap: "The Best Life of Post-00s on Earth" — Trump's youngest son, 19 years old, made $150 million from crypto and is now recommended to join TikTok's board) (Additional background: The birth of the strongest e-commerce ever? Amazon joins TikTok's US bidding, creating a complete online + offline empire) Table of Contents Transaction Structure: Formal "US Control," Actual Profit Sharing Algorithm Black Box: Data Locked in the US, Logic Still in Beijing Legal Boundaries and Subsequent Variables According to reports, TikTok CEO Zhou Shouzi told employees on the 18th that the parent company ByteDance has sold over 80%

On the eve of 2026, the crypto market has gradually entered a consolidation and maturity phase after reaching a new all-time high. Bitcoin, relying on the consensus of "digital gold," has repeatedly solidified its support around the $80,000 key level; Ethereum, benefiting from the Pectra upgrade and the landing of spot ETFs, has stabilized its ecosystem around $2,900; XRP, after making favorable progress in the US SEC lawsuit, is once again attracting institutional attention. This article will analyze the technical patterns, growth engines, and potential risks of the three core assets, and explore how the turning point in global liquidity and the formation of regulatory frameworks will shape the market landscape in 2026.

In brief India's Competition Commission has approved Coinbase's bid to acquire a minority stake in CoinDCX, valuing the exchange at $2.45 billion. The latest development is a "big win for the Indian crypto ecosystem," Coinbase CEO Sumit Gupta told Decrypt. The approval comes as Coinbase

Aave CEO and founder Stani Kulechov announced that the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has officially concluded its years-long investigation into Aave without taking enforcement action.

Author: Jack Inabinet, Source: Bankless, Translation: Shaw Golden Finance In the cryptocurrency space, liquidity is crucial. No matter which angle you analyze this industry from, this principle applies. Liquidity affects everything, from token prices to Ethereum staking patterns. Last week, the US clearing core institution—the Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation (DTCC)—was authorized to provide compliant tokenization services under federal regulations. Since then, the tokenization of real-world assets (RWA) at an institutional scale has garnered increasing attention. Today, the cryptocurrency industry faces an unknown: how will these RWAs be distributed on-chain? Today, we will examine DTCC’s own tokenization requirements and discuss the role of liquidity in determining the dominance of cryptocurrencies, in hopes of better understanding which blockchains are most likely to succeed in the RWA tokenization field. DTC

Real-world assets (RWA) sector leader Ondo Finance announced that it will launch its tokenized stock and exchange-traded fund (ETF) trading platform on the Solana blockchain in early 2026. This move means users will be able to trade US stocks and ETFs 24/7 with instant settlement via blockchain channels. The plan is built on Ondo's existing $365 million in tokenized assets and follows a key regulatory win— the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has concluded its two-year investigation without filing any charges, clearing the way for its business expansion.

In brief Aave said Tuesday that the SEC has closed its investigation into the lending protocol after four years. It comes a year after the President Trump-backed crypto project World Liberty Financial flirted with building on top of Aave, and bought $1 million worth of the AAVE token. This is j

As artificial intelligence investment surpasses half a trillion dollars, crypto miners are increasingly repurposing their infrastructure to operate AI data centers, especially in North America and Western Europe. Web3 veteran and investor Rick Rose argues that developing markets—often overlooked

The Supreme Court of the United Kingdom has refused to review the appeal in the ongoing $13 billion lawsuit initiated by Bitcoin Satoshi Vision (BSV) investors, thereby upholding previous rulings aimed at limiting the liability of crypto exchanges related to delisting tokens.

Source: The Defi Report; Author: Michael Nadeau; Translation: BitpushNews The best-performing "altcoins" in this cycle are actually not tokens at all—they are stocks related to crypto assets. Among them, none have surged more than Robinhood. Its stock price has increased 17-fold in less than two years, transforming what was once one of our most contrarian investments (HOOD was down 80% from its IPO price in '22) into a significant win in our portfolio. We first accumulated shares during the last bear market (average cost $21.49), and exited in October, locking in over 550% gains. Now, with product momentum accelerating and revenue composition becoming more diversified compared to two years ago, Robinhood has officially re-entered our "Watchlist" (our bear market shopping list).

In brief A solo Bitcoin miner notched a Bitcoin block reward of 3.13 BTC, valued around $282,000, on Thursday. The miner used Solo CKPool, a service designed to help solo miners win Bitcoin blocks. Solo mining continues to become more difficult, as Bitcoin's hash rate or network computational p

Before the TGA Awards Ceremony, several mysterious traders placed bets on the prediction market platform Polymarket, predicting that "Light and Shadow" would win, ultimately realizing huge profits. These "prophets" engaging in abnormal operations reveal how prediction markets have become new channels for insiders to monetize information. (Background: From ballerinas to the youngest female billionaire: How Luana built the billion-dollar prediction market Kalshi) (Additional context: Why is the prediction market still in the exploratory stage? Uncovering the five major challenges of Prediction Markets) Table of Contents The "pre-determined" script The historic award moments and insider transactions "Even prophets have to eat" Today, the much-anticipated TGA (The Game Awards) ceremony has finally come to an end.

Gate Finance launches the Year-End Reward Event, offering generous rewards including AirPods Pro 3 and a three-piece Apple set. The event runs from December 10 to 30, 2025. Users can earn lottery chances and high yields by completing tasks. Participants should be aware of market risks and compliance requirements. Don't miss out.

A key shift seems to be taking shape in U.S. banking policy, and Ripple finds itself right in the middle of it This week, the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency dropped a surprising update: nine major U.S. banks had been shutting out crypto companies and other “sensitive” industries

Have you ever wished you could have invested early in a cryptocurrency that became the next big thing? It&39;s easy to look back at coins like Bonk, which soared after its initial launch, and wonder: "What if?" But here&39;s your chance to avoid those regrets! BullZilla ($BZIL) is the next 1000x cry

Author: Frank, PANews Whales on Hyperliquid became the focus of on-chain transactions. Here, the drama of getting rich and returning to zero is staged every day. Digging deeper into the on-chain data, these giant whales show the style of thousands of people, some are "reverse indicators" who hold a lot of money but have been defeated repeatedly, some are "snipers" who have been lurking for half a year just to kill with one blow, and some are "cold-blooded machines" who use algorithms to harvest retail investors every second. The data strips these big players of their mysterious coat. PANews selected the five most representative addresses on Hyperliquid: including the famous "Big Brother Maji", a mysterious person suspected of having inside information, a market maker with billions of capital, and the recent "turnaround myth" and "iron head army". Through their thousands of transaction records, we seem to be able to find our own picture in these portraits. Brother Maggie: Win

The official X account of the TRUMP meme token announced that it will launch a mobile game called "Trump Billionaires Club", specifically designed for Trump fans, where players have the opportunity to share $100K worth of TRUMP token rewards. Set in New York, this 3D mobile game powered by OpenLoot allows players to build a business empire and win prizes using TRUMP tokens.

The crypto market is shifting rapidly, and investors searching for the best altcoin to buy now are watching three major contenders dominate headlines: BlockchainFX, Solana, and Binance Coin. Solana is bouncing off key support levels, Binance Coin is rising on a major global regulatory win, and Block

Author: Matt Hougan, Chief Investment Officer at Bitwise; Translation: Jinse Finance The interesting thing about this industry is that many people you meet are absolutely convinced about everything: “Ethereum is better than Solana; it will ultimately dominate.” “Solana is stronger than Ethereum and will definitely crush its competitors in the long run.” “Only Bitcoin truly matters.” I always find this incredible. I've been working full-time in the crypto industry for eight years, surrounded by about 140 colleagues who share ideas with me. I also frequently communicate with top venture capitalists, project founders, researchers, and foundations, giving me deep insights into these network ecosystems. But even so, I still can’t confidently tell you which public chain will ultimately win out, or how things will precisely unfold. At the current stage of cryptocurrency development, I believe the ultimate outcome is unpredictable.