According to the latest Ethereum (ETH) market data on May 1, 2025 (current price $1,803.5, 24H fluctuation range $1,765-$1,835), combined with technical analysis and market dynamics, the following precise trading strategy has been formulated.

Core Strategy and Points
1. Resistance level shorting
- Entry conditions: Price rebounds to the 1,820-1,835 USD area is blocked (4-hour EMA30 resistance + previous high resistance), combined with a 1-hour KDJ death cross or long upper shadow signal.
- Target: Retrace to $1,780-$1,800 (EMA120 support zone), break down to $1,760 (key psychological support).
- Stop Loss: Set above $1,840 to guard against false breakout risks.
2. Buy on support rebound
- Entry conditions: Price retreats to stabilize in the range of $1,760-$1,780 (daily EMA60 + on-chain liquidation support overlap), combined with RSI < 30 or MACD bottom divergence.
- Target: Rebound to $1,800-$1,820, take profit in batches after breaking through.
- Stop Loss: Strictly set below $1,750, risk ≤3%.
3. Breakthrough Long Position
- Entry conditions: Price stabilizes at $1,835 (previous high resistance), requires 1-hour closing confirmation of the breakthrough, and trading volume increases to over 150 million USDT.
- Target: Looking towards $1,850-$1,880 in the short term (upper band of the weekly Bollinger Bands), and after a breakout, look to $1,900.
- Stop Loss: Dynamically move up to below $1,820 to protect profits.
Key linkage and risk control
- BTC correlation: If Bitcoin falls below $84,000, it may drag ETH into a faster correction; if it breaks above $85,500, it could drive ETH to move higher.
- On-chain risk: The current price of ETH is approaching the maximum pain point of $1,800 for options. If it falls below $1,760, it could trigger over $320 million in liquidations, intensifying selling pressure.
- Funding pressure: The US ETH spot ETF saw a net outflow of 2.3 million USD yesterday (Grayscale ETHE saw an outflow of 7.1 million USD), and short-term market sentiment is bearish.
Position Management
- Total position: ≤50%, single leverage ≤3 times, avoid high fluctuation risk.
- Stop-loss discipline: Strictly set stop-loss, exit if it falls below $1,750 or BTC loses $84,000.
- Buy more plan: If the price suddenly drops below $1,740 (near the 24H low), you can reserve 20% of the funds to buy in batches.
Summary
ETH is currently in the fluctuation range of $1,760-$1,835, mainly using a high short trading strategy during the day. If it is blocked at $1,820, a light short position can be tested; if it breaks through $1,835, then follow the trend to go long. Pay attention to BTC linkage and ETF capital flow, strictly set stop losses, and avoid emotional trading. #非农就业数据将公布 #五月行情预测 #BTC #PI