#美联储5月利率预测 #五月行情预测

The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision in May is expected to remain unchanged, with rate cut expectations postponed to July.

Federal Reserve interest rate decision expectations
Maintain interest rates unchanged: The market generally expects the Federal Reserve to keep the interest rate unchanged at 4.25%-4.50% during the May meeting, with a rate cut probability of only 2.8%.
Rate cut expectations delayed: Due to stronger than expected non-farm payroll data in April, the market's expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut have been postponed until July.
May Market Forecast
A-share Market: It is expected that the A-share market will show a volatile upward trend in May, with policy support and capital inflow as the main driving factors. The consumer, technology, and dividend sectors may perform well.
U.S. stock market: Expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut may support U.S. stocks, especially technology stocks. A weak dollar also helps U.S. companies' profits.
Influencing factors
Policy Impact: Domestic policies such as expectations for reserve requirement ratio cuts and interest rate reductions may boost market confidence.
External risks: The Federal Reserve's policies and the China-U.S. trade relationship remain the focus of market attention and may trigger volatility.
In summary, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in May is high, and the A-share market is expected to fluctuate upwards with policy support, while the US stock market may benefit from expectations of interest rate cuts.