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Is the crypto market a time bomb? What every investor should know

Bitcoin has just broken $64,000, and the question everyone is asking is the same: are we facing another crypto bubble or is this the beginning of a real bullish cycle?

What is a crypto bubble really

A crypto bubble is basically when prices become completely disconnected from reality. Investors buy because others are buying, not because they analyze fundamentals. Unlike a stock or a bond, most cryptocurrencies do not generate income or have tangible assets behind them. Their value depends 100% on market sentiment.

Think of the dot-com bubble of the 90s or the real estate bubble of 2008. They promise astronomical gains, everyone FOMO, and then… catastrophe.

How a crypto bubble works ( in 6 steps)

1. Initial Hype: A project or technology emerges that promises disruption. Early adopters begin to enter.

2. Speculative FOMO: They see that they go up 2x, 3x, 10x in a short time. Retail money enters, without understanding anything.

3. Media frenzy: CNN, Twitter, TikTok can’t stop talking about the coin. Even your grandmother is asking about Bitcoin.

4. Irrational euphoria: Prices reach unsustainable levels. Fundamental analysis does not exist.

5. The peak: Profit-taking begins. Negative news appears. First investors sell.

6. The crash: Total panic. Chain liquidations. Massive losses.

Historical cases that cannot be ignored

Bitcoin 2011: From cents to $30 in months → collapse to single digits.

Bitcoin 2017: $20,000 → $3,000 in a year. ICO Apocalypse: thousands of projects without a real product or team.

Altcoins 2018: All-time highs in January → 90% loss in December.

NFTs 2021-2022: They were selling JPEGs for millions → trading volume fell by 95%.

Bitcoin 2021: $68,000 → severe correction in 2022.

The warning signs you cannot ignore

  • Increases of 50-100% in days or weeks
  • The coin is on Twitter/TikTok 24/7
  • extreme trading volume
  • Fear & Greed Index at highs (above 80)
  • People who don't know what blockchain is buying
  • Increase in margin trading and leverage
  • Total market cap disproportionate vs real adoption

How not to lose your shirt

Take profits: If you see warning signs, don't be greedy. Sell partially.

Stay informed: Read more than just scrolling. Understand what you're buying.

Use stop-loss: Automate your defense. If it falls by X%, you sell.

Think long term: Bubbles are cycles. Solid projects survive.

Seek advice: Don't just rely on influencers. Consult real traders or advisors.

Control emotions: Discipline always beats instinct.

Can you make money in a bubble?

Theoretically yes, but it's like playing roulette. The early investors who leave before the crash win. Those who stay waiting for “$100k” lose everything.

The debate: Is Bitcoin a bubble?

It depends on who you ask. The bulls say that Bitcoin has long-term value as a decentralized store of value. The bears say it's pure speculation. The reality: Bitcoin has had boom-bust cycles before, but it has also survived all the “definitive crashes”.

What you need to understand

Crypto bubbles are a combination of speculation + mass psychology + FOMO. Yes, they can cause devastating losses. But they also teach the market. Each bubble kills weak projects and leaves the strong even stronger.

The lesson: do due diligence, understand the technology, invest for the long term, not in viral noise.

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This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
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