From the end of September to mid-November, the undercurrents within the Federal Reserve grew stronger. No one dared to be the first to speak up, all were observing each other's reactions—publicly discussing in meetings, while privately having their own calculations.

The turning point appeared last Friday. The head of the New York Fed dropped a line saying, "There is still room for short-term rate cuts," which was like throwing a stone into a lake. The market immediately perked up its ears and began to ponder: Is this a signal?

This Monday, the people in San Francisco were even more ruthless, directly expressing support for taking action in December. Now the previously ambiguous direction has completely solidified, and all eyes are focused on that point in time at the end of the year.

The media began to write articles. They depicted internal divisions as "unprecedented rifts," repeatedly emphasizing that "the final decision-making power lies with that person"—the meaning is clear: this time it won't depend on the number of votes, but rather on the will of a certain individual.

Someone in the comments is bringing up old accounts, saying this script was performed in 2019. Will the pattern of dropping and then stopping be repeated? Some remember how it ended back then, while others have long forgotten. But putting this clue out there is itself a warning to the market.

There are two paths on the table now: Plan A - to lower in December, allowing the market to catch its breath; Plan B - to wait until January next year to see, avoiding the risk of lowering too early and falling into a pit. Those supporting Plan A worry about missing the window, while those backing Plan B fear that the rhythm will collapse. Each has its own calculations.

It is said that this vote may see a record number of opposing votes. The media specifically dug up data from previous contentious votes for comparison, dramatically amplifying the situation.

Assets like BTC and ZEC are most sensitive to interest rate expectations. In the coming weeks, paying attention to what those Fed officials say is more important than looking at candlesticks.