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Powell is coming but not speaking, what is hidden behind the 90% interest rate cut expectation
[Block Rhythm] Powell is set to appear at Stanford for an event in memory of old Schultz. But don't expect him to reveal any economic signals — the Fed is currently in a quiet period before the decision, and he's keeping his mouth shut.
Interestingly, even though the officials have been tight-lipped, traders have already voted with their feet. The latest data shows that the market's bet on a 25 basis point cut next Wednesday has soared to nearly 90%. If this really happens, everyone's eyes will be on one thing: the Fed's mysterious “dot plot.”
Why pay attention to the dot plot? Because that thing holds clues about how interest rates will move in 2026. For the crypto market, this is key information that can influence the flow of funds. It's not difficult to see the expectation of interest rate cuts come to fruition; the challenge is figuring out how many more cuts are possible afterwards.