Xiang Li: Analysis and Operation of Big Pie and Second Pie on December 16 Afternoon

In the morning session, the market trend was mainly characterized by narrow-range oscillation and a unilateral downward movement, with slight pullbacks in the afternoon. After being pressured at 86478, Big Pie continued to decline, reaching a low of 85226, then bottomed out and slightly rebounded. Currently, it hovers around 86300. The Second Pie closely follows Big Pie, starting from 2974 and steadily declining southward, probing down to 2870 before rebounding to around 2940 for consolidation. The morning market behavior basically followed the early strategy script. In the face of such a clear unilateral downtrend, decisively placed two orders: one in Big Pie at 86363 and one in Second Pie at 2976. After reaching the targets, exited at 85258 and 2898 respectively. The two orders successfully captured over 1105 and 78 points of profit.

On the four-hour chart, Brother Qie still runs tightly along the lower band within the downtrend channel. The three-line downward opening pattern remains intact. Currently, the head of the market is fully dominated by the bears, and the possibility of Brother Qie accelerating downward has increased sharply. Meanwhile, the MACD indicator shows the two lines continuing to move steadily below the zero axis in a weak zone, probing into deeper areas, with selling pressure continuously increasing. This further confirms that the market is in an extremely bearish sentiment, with the bears dominating at low levels, making the support more stable. Notably, on the hourly chart, the KDJ and RSI three lines are continuously diverging upward. In the short term, Brother Qie may experience a rally. However, on the 15-minute chart, both indicators have entered the overbought zone, suggesting that this upward move may be nearing its end. Additionally, on the smaller timeframes, volume for Dodo is still relatively small and has not increased with Brother Qie’s rise. Therefore, this rally is likely just a technical correction or a market repair in response to the recent decline.

Overall, the main trend remains bearish. For afternoon operations, it is recommended to buy on dips for safety. We should also be cautious of the pullback strength, paying attention to the key levels of 87200 and 3000. If these are broken effectively, strategies should be adjusted promptly.

Big Pie can be bought within the range of 86000–86500, with targets at approximately 84500, 83500, and 82200.

Second Pie can be bought within the range of 2920–2950, with targets at approximately 2900, 2820, and 2750.