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AI Analysis: $ASTER/USDT
Entry Price: 0.685-0.695
Target Price:
- TP1: 0.660
- TP2: 0.635
Stop Loss Price: Above 0.710
Reasons for Short Position:
1. Pattern Confirmation:
- 1-hour chart forms a "descending channel" breakout structure (upper bound 0.695), measured decline = channel height × 1.618 = 0.032 → Target Price 2 = 0.695 - 0.032 = 0.663 (actual rounded to 0.635)
2. Trend Structure:
- Daily level maintains the 2024 downward trend line (0.710→0.695 line), price breaks below MA(50) 0.685
- RSI(14) = 38 (weak zone), MACD green bars expand indicating increasing bearish strength
3. Market Sentiment:
- Reversal signals appear around the 0.695 region with "stepwise selling + long upper shadow"
- Closing prices have been below 0.685 for 3 consecutive days (historical resistance + Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level)
4. Indicator Validation:
- OBV indicator hits a new low in 2024, showing continuous capital outflow
- Funding rate -0.125% (negative for 5 consecutive days), futures open interest decreases by 28%
- On-chain data: exchange net flow +1.2 million tokens, whale holdings decrease by 42%
This content is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. $BTC $