#数字资产市场动态 The most common pitfall in contract trading is fixating on the win rate.

I've seen this situation many times—some friends boast about achieving an 80% win rate, talking it up enthusiastically. But by the end of the month, their accounts are shrinking. The problem isn't the number of wins, but the profit-to-loss ratio.

A typical scenario goes like this: when making money, they become overly cautious, only risking 5% before running away; when losing, they become greedy, enduring a 50% drawdown in one go. Ten small wins and one big loss can completely reverse the account. Behind this is human nature—fear of profits evaporating when winning, rushing to lock in gains; hoping for a rebound when losing. The crypto market, however, is especially good at playing this psychological game.

The way to turn things around isn't complicated; the core principle is: don't focus on the win rate, focus on the risk-reward ratio.

My own standard is strict: before entering a trade, I must calculate clearly that the potential profit is at least twice the potential loss (risk-reward ratio ≥ 2:1). If this condition isn't met, I simply don't take the trade.

How do I operate specifically? In three steps:

**Step 1: Calculate everything before entering.** Know exactly where your stop-loss and target levels are. The profit potential must be at least twice the loss potential. If this condition isn't satisfied, even good opportunities are discarded.

**Step 2: Use tools to replace emotions.** Don't rely on in-the-moment judgment; set your take-profit and stop-loss orders in advance. Let discipline replace your willpower, so you won't be fooled by the market's volatility.

**Step 3: Develop the habit of recording.** After each trade closes, note the actual risk-reward ratio. Review it monthly to see which entry points weren't smart enough, which exit timings were too hasty, and gradually optimize your entire decision-making process.

In essence, trading isn't about who has the most accurate intuition, but about who is willing to increase their position size at the right moments and cut losses quickly when wrong. Use discipline to lock in losses and let profits grow naturally in favorable conditions. This is the true secret to surviving long in the crypto market.