Sometimes the clearest trade setups are the ones that make you second-guess yourself. You think it's too straightforward, too obvious to be real. Then the market does exactly what you predicted.

Take $KAITO for example. The signals were right there.

We can track the story through on-chain data: comparing unlock requests against actual unlock completions and asset transfers (moves to different wallets). When holders are requesting unlocks but not actually withdrawing their stakes, it creates a mismatch. When assets start flowing to new addresses instead of staying put—that's the real tell.

The staking withdrawals chart reveals the pattern. You see the unlock requests spike, the actual unlocks execute, but the disposal pattern shows where the real selling pressure emerges. That gap between intention and execution is where fortunes are made and lost.

The obvious outcome happened because the data was screaming it. Sometimes the market really does give away its next move. You just have to read the chain correctly.