[Red Envelope] This week, a dip followed by a rise, advancing through the electricity score disagreement (High-level PK tomorrow)

Old rules, receive red envelopes and refuse check-ins. Even if you send a message like “Yuanbao Prosperity,” don’t comment 666—so stupid; [Taogu Ba]

Keep an eye on the market in real-time, grasp the trends early, and plan your moves to determine wins or losses. Luck is unreliable; gamblers won’t go far.

Use deduction to set the direction, discipline to protect profits. Like and then watch. The stock market will keep earning, and I wish everyone a prosperous stock market every day and a thriving life!

1: Market Sentiment

The index has returned to 4. Now, on the Tian Ti ladder, seeing 4 is a hurdle. Shun Na is advancing with the hope of the whole village. If Shun Na reaches 7 by Thursday, Friday will be the perfect day for a crossing;

The highlighted data shows the first is the breakout rate, thanks to risk aversion, mainly in coal chemical industry + oil and gas. The second is the volume reaching 2.6 trillion, also due to risk aversion, but the bullish and bearish views reversed this week Monday compared to last Monday.

The freezing point of market sentiment, from just 738 red stocks on February 2 to 1,430 on February 13, and then 549 last Tuesday, indicates the freezing point is rising (not just the number of red stocks but overall sentiment). This is my AI statistical conclusion, a good sign.

Including your personal emotions—there are still 3,700 stocks waiting to rise at close. But are your moods and emotions much better than last Friday’s 4,000 red stocks? Feel it yourself. So, although the data seems sluggish, the actual sentiment is gradually changing.

2: Auction Perspective

Before the market opens, the external environment and Han Dog set an example for us. Old A-shares are still fragile. The opening was shaken by the decline in hardware chains, but the order book amount in the auction already shows clues. There’s a fundamental difference between this Monday and last Monday.

The auction order book for intercontinental oil and gas is barely 1.6 billion, compared to 8 billion on the first day of the frenzy—clear advantage for me. With 1.6 billion versus 8 billion, the advantage is obvious. Today’s realization is not a low-probability event.

Like I reminded last weekend, crude oil futures surged. With diminishing marginal effects, we may not follow the rise, but once it falls back, following the decline is 100%. So, the news of releasing strategic oil reserves during lunch, combined with quantitative volatility, naturally accelerates profit-taking.

Oil and gas may have another seemingly strong rebound, like silver on February 4, caused by many subjective long-term public funds raising money to buy the dip. Such rebounds happen during open market periods.

In short, after a short-term speculative spike, the expectation gap for oil and gas disappears. The opening is consistent, and entering now is a live experiment in quantitative trading! Conversely, if last night and today’s pre-market battles didn’t ferment again, the consistency is in electric power and small lobsters. The outcome remains the same. From an objective market perspective, the expectation gap is here.

On the tech side, the strongest auction opening is Ningbo Construction (small lobster) + Jinkai New Energy (electricity). The core stocks haven’t shown negative feedback. Taijia mentioned last Friday that the anchored value isn’t significant, so don’t focus here. There are few negative points.

Positive feedback: the security company San Ge exceeded expectations. The outside funds pushing Shun Na higher at the open is understandable. Most people’s ideal script is Han Cable turning over with a one-word limit-up.

Lu Xun said, “There was no road in the world, but when many people walk, a road appears.” Liang Wenfeng added, “The grassland originally had no limit-up, but when many think about it, I’ll make you think less in the future. Who still has dreams? Liang Wenfeng helps you break through!”

Jokes aside, Han Cable is one of tomorrow’s anchors. It must avoid negative feedback. A slight sideways move at high levels is better.

3: Rotation Perspective

In the early trading, oil and gas surged for three minutes, and some funds started to cash out. The first to attempt a rise was electric power, which performed unexpectedly well with three consecutive days of strength. The key opportunity is often at the market open—if missed, the advantage is lost. This continuous strength is typical of institutional behavior. The first major divergence later—opportunity or risk?

Last week, I mentioned a rule: weak divergence, buy low at the end of the day in strong trend stocks like Xidian, Baobian, Tebian. These are arbitrage rules in the current market. How about strong divergence? Find intraday opportunities.

If you’re afraid of going against the trend, the best way is to buy in batches. Besides delaying entry points, you also need to observe the next day. This is the biggest change in quantitative trading this year. Previously, strong divergence lasted one day; the next day, stocks would rebound actively. Now, after a strong divergence, there’s a small dip or sideways movement, then a strong rally. Active weakness should be skipped. Focus on high-probability trades.

Computing power stocks have been shrinking. Since the new year, no sector has shown proactive strength. Either deep water fishing during trading hours or late-day sneak attacks. Unlike recent high-profile moves in power, this is normal. Historically, themes are dominated by quantification. After the Two Sessions close, observe whether institutional funds return.

4: High-Level / Theme Perspective

Most high-level patterns are mimicking Hang Electric. Last Friday and today, some have broken down, like Tongding Interconnection. Future high-level stocks in various segments will likely follow Hang Electric.

Yunnan Energy Holdings: started with sharp declines during the day. Not necessarily bad. If electric power wants to lead the main rise, it still needs it. Whether regulators intervene or not, it’s not the time to say.

Hua Sheng Tiancheng: its position was taken over by Tuowei, which is understandable. After hitting a new high, creating a new high again is a strong buy point, but such buy points are now programmed into quant models. So, it’s counterintuitive. It has been sideways for about a week, mimicking Hang Electric’s pattern.

Shun Na Shares: active intraday, tomorrow is a small hurdle. Subjectively, I think Han Cable shouldn’t give negative feedback; otherwise, it will trigger a chain reaction.

Meili / Great Wall: the former was today’s hero; tomorrow’s stance will determine the sector. The latter, with Hongbo, rose simultaneously in the afternoon. Fundamentally, it’s stronger than Bozi, and can be seen as a new low-capacity stock.

5: Boasting

Last year, many said optical modules would prove their worth. I say, time will prove the strength of domestic computing power.

Some brothers have already seen the dawn after a brief struggle. Borui, after a miskill at the start of the year, has hit a new high. Those holding it didn’t wait in vain. Watching my short-term picks this morning, Borui attracted massive funds—no problem. I’ve mentioned these combos before. Congrats on the gains.

Some brothers are very in sync, ahead of the curve, already making two waves with Meili Cloud. I’m very pleased!

That’s all. See you tomorrow. If other Jinfen or Borui also mention, I’ll add why it hit a 20% limit-up today.

Thanks to the brothers who supported and generously rewarded this post! Your support and trust are deeply appreciated.

It’s because of your unwavering support that I have the confidence and motivation to keep moving forward. I will not let you down and will give my all!

Click like. Although I’ve been busy lately, I’ve shared many market views and changes, just not written detailed explanations.