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Gold
One platform for global traditional assets
Options
Hot
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Can the ceasefire hold?
Honestly: it is very fragile. Three factors work against it: incompatible objectives, ongoing military pressure, risk of triggering incident
Iran can seriously disrupt the strait, permanently closing it is very unlikely, but even without closure, the global economic impact would be enormous
If the Strait of Hormuz is disrupted:
The price per barrel can spike sharply (sometimes +20% to +50% in a few days)
Markets panic → speculation → even greater increase
Oil companies slow down or reroute their shipments
Even a small tension can trigger a major surge