Recently, someone has been comparing the supply curve of stablecoins to ETF net inflows, saying "See, the money is coming in, so it’s going up," and that just sounds a bit off to me... Correlation can be very deceiving. Whether off-chain funds are coming in or not sometimes just involves switching channels or carriers, not necessarily actual on-chain activity; conversely, when on-chain supply increases, it could be market making, arbitrage, or transfer activities, which are far from "pumping the market."


And don’t forget about execution quality: saving a few bucks on fees can be more painfully eaten up by slippage and MEV. Recently, cross-chain bridges have had issues, and oracles have been abnormal—everyone’s just "waiting for confirmation." When that kind of sentiment kicks in, funds tend to pull back, and whether supply/ETF data can match up is really hard to say.
Anyway, I currently see these indicators only as thermometers, not as steering wheels... As for how you guys use them, just take it as casual talk.
View Original
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
Comment
Add a comment
Add a comment
No comments
  • Pin