Many prediction markets look like markets, but as long as there is no CLOB, it is essentially the platform setting the prices.
Prices are smoothed out, divergences are averaged, and risks are hidden.
What you see is not judgment, but the “mean of the sentiment.”
But the value of predictions comes precisely from divergence.
CLOB pulls prediction markets back from voting systems to game systems.
In the order book, each order is a stance, a price willing to take on the risk of a judgment.
There is no “I think it’s possible,” only “I am willing to bet at this price.”
Depth is the density of diverg

$MERL These past couple of days, there has indeed been a pullback, and some have started to chase higher. But when viewed within its own structure, entering at this position doesn’t feel comfortable.
After the price reached around 0.45, there were repeated attempts to break through above, but each time the upward movement lacked sustainability, and there was no clear follow-through.
This kind of rally seems more like an erroneous volatility amplification under MERL’s current liquidity conditions.
What the market is showing is not “trying to push the price higher,” but rather “first rall

From the perspective of "Inference will explode," @inference_labs@, its position is actually quite clear.
When models no longer gain significant advantage from parameter scale, the real variable becomes:
How many inferences can be performed per unit time.
It's not about answering smarter once, but about whether continuous, high-frequency, parallel thinking is possible.
A small model + multiple Agent structure essentially amplifies inference calls.
Dozens of Agents running simultaneously, verifying each other, breaking down tasks, and then merging results—what's consumed isn't "model capability

For a long time, on-chain transactions have been quite monotonous.
Changing the patterns, it's always the same type of asset and the same volatility.
You think you're making choices, but in reality, you're just moving back and forth within the same pool.
@OstiumLabs The interesting part is that instead of adding more water to this pool, it directly changes the water source.
Stocks, forex, gold, and indices are integrated into the same trading system, and on-chain “counterparties” are no longer just another token, but assets from different economic cycles and with different risk appetites.
The