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$USDT.D 1D
Daily structure is looking very similar to the one before the previous breakout.
• Deviated below Daily sell-side liquidity
• Reclaimed the Daily S/R
• Broke out and flipped the daily trend bullish
• Cleared the Daily MSS level and shifted structure to the upside
Zooming into the 4H, strength is getting established clearly.
• Uptrend continues to be respected
• MSS level is getting tested and holding
• iH&S is forming, which could fuel a strong breakout
The red box is the 1D OB resistance and the main level to watch on a confirmed breakout hold.
As soon as price gets above that on t
BTC3.91%
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$FET
Fancy a short here.
1D RSI Bear divs, Local trend established, volume dropping. Price follows soon?
Let's see. Been a while since I gambled on leverage.
#FET #FETUSDT
FET4.13%
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$ASTER
Any retest back inside the daily OB cluster, I will look for a short back into the demand at the current lows.
#ASTER #ASTERUSDT
ASTER0.46%
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$SOL
Broke down from the daily bear flag and lost the daily MSS level — Local structure clearly shifted bearish.
Any move back into that MSS zone is a retest, not strength.
I’ll look to add shorts on any scam push into that region, targeting the current lows.
#SOL #SOLUSDT
SOL2.99%
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$BTC LTF Update
Locally, PA remains weak.
We’ve broken below the 4H channel that was holding since the $60k lows and flipped it — confirming a shift into a local downtrend.
From here, minimum expectation is a move towards ~$63.2k before any meaningful bounce (if not straight into new lows).
There is no bullish case on the LTF right now.
Only way that changes is if we:
• Break the local downtrend
• Reclaim the channel
• Get back above the red box
Until then, it’s weakness.
Not forcing longs in a downtrend.
#BTC #BTCUSDT
BTC3.91%
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$BTC is currently hanging in the air.
Just below the current lows, we have a strong confluence zone:
• 1W200MA → ~$59k
• Weekly demand → ~$54.5k
• Range lows → ~$52.7k
• Sell-side liquidity → ~$49k
All of this clusters in the mid to low $50ks.
If price trades into this region, it becomes a high probability reaction zone.
That’s where I’ll look for long term positioning across the board.
Letting price come into value or find value with time. Here I see none.
#BTC #BTCUSDT
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Sweep of the $60k low is needed to fix the market 🥲
$BTC
BTC3.91%
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GM ☕️ FAM
Hoping the market doesn’t make a April fools move today.
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$HYPE (1W)
Printing a massive bull trap with that SFP above the highs.
I expect some chop above $30–$31 in the short term, but overall, this looks like a distribution on LTFs
The next move from here is likely a move back to the $20 lows over the coming months.
From there, we probably range for the rest of the year.
Don’t get trapped chasing strength into HTF rejection.
#HYPE #HYPEUSDT
HYPE4.59%
SFP1.65%
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$ETH 12H
Took a short at the underside retest of the diagonal + horizontal S/R.
Clean level. Clear invalidation.
Bids: $2100 – $2150
As long as we’re below this zone → I expect continuation to new lows.
Break above the box, and the idea flips. Invalidation triggers a long toward $2750 – $2800.
High RR setup either way around a key S/R. Let's see.
#ETH #ETHUSDT
ETH4.34%
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Lions_Lionishvip:
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While I’m macro bearish on $BTC.D (1M / 3M), LTFs are telling a different story right now.
As long as we’re holding the daily support (green box) → structure remains bullish.
A move into the red box resistance in the coming days/weeks is likely.
But...Lose the green box… and the script flips.
That’s when you start seeing sustained strength in $ETH and alts.
Until then, I am interested in front-running the rotation.
BTC3.91%
ETH4.34%
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$ETH has spent nearly 4 years trying to find balance in the $2100–$2250 region (red box).
Every interaction with this level has led to aggressive reactions, either to the upside or downside, which clearly defines it as a high importance zone.
• Right now, price is trading below this range and consolidating under it after losing it as support in Feb, now treating it as resistance.
As long as the price remains below this zone while being in a macro downtrend, the PA remains weak.
No strength → no bottom.
Don’t look for reversals until the market starts showing acceptance back above key levels.
ETH4.34%
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$DXY One of the most important charts for global risk.
Right now, it’s at a key inflection point.
We’re trading just below the monthly S/R → acting as resistance,
while finding support at the multi-year channel lows.
Compression building here.
As a bull, you want to see this:
• Rejection from the red zone
• Loss of channel support over time
That opens the door for a risk-on environment
(liquidity expansion/printer dynamics)
But if we break back above and reclaim the red zone as support:
That’s a problem.
Tighter liquidity conditions → pressure on risk assets →
harder environment for upside.
(E
BTC3.91%
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$BTC — Understanding Market Structure Using Fair Value
This chart simplifies everything.
Price revolves around fair value —the balanced price where buyers and sellers agree, where price trades efficiently with two-sided participation.
Think of it as the auction zone.
No urgency. Just acceptance.
From the previous cycle, we have two clean fair value ranges:
• $25k – $30k
• $55k – $72k
These are the zones where the market has built the most acceptance.
Once price establishes fair value, it looks for direction.
It becomes a bidding process:
If buyers continue accepting higher prices → expansion u
BTC3.91%
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$BTC — Understanding Market Structure Using Fair Value
This chart simplifies everything.
Price revolves around fair value —
the balanced price where buyers and sellers agree,
where price trades efficiently with two-sided participation.
Think of it as the auction zone.
No urgency. Just acceptance.
From the previous cycle, we have two clean fair value ranges:
• $25k – $30k
• $55k – $72k
These are the zones where the market has built the most acceptance.
Once price establishes fair value, it looks for direction.
It becomes a bidding process:
If buyers continue accepting higher prices → expansion
BTC3.91%
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The earliest sign of a $BTC bottom will be a clean breakout of the macro downtrend that started at $126k.
As long as price is trading below that trend,
expect shallow bounces and endless chop.
No need to overthink it —
Trend defines the environment.
#BTC #BTCUSDT
BTC3.91%
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GateUser-a0fb0743vip:
good
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This is the most confusing phase of the cycle when both bulls and bears abuse you in the comments.
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$BTC local bounce is already losing steam.
Low $66ks for a scalp bounce if boomers send it lower.
BTC3.91%
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GateUser-1e3d7789vip:
snd jd also belongs to the genus Onthophagus and the family Bombyliidae
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$TOTAL2 suggests to me that we are close, but $ETH and Altcoins still have some more pain to go before things start turning bullish again.
• Clean 5-wave structure in play.
• 1–2–3–4 done. Wave 5 still pending.
Right now we’re sitting at macro RLs + weekly demand.
Been here ~8 weeks with no meaningful reaction.
That’s not strength.
Below the range lows, there’s still untouched liquidity sitting in the monthly breaker zone.
Which means one thing —This is still not a bottom.
Not in terms of price, not in terms of time.
Either:
• We get a proper capitulation → sweep below RLs into that liquidity
ETH4.34%
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