华仔论市:

一、BTC 晚间（大饼）

Current range: $73,500–$74,500 high-level oscillation

- Core resistance: $75,000 integer level + March high-density zone
Break through and stabilize above $75,000 → open space for $76,500–$78,000
Rejection and pullback → correction and repair
- Key support:
First support $72,800–$73,000
Strong support $71,800–$72,000
Break below $71,500 → test $70,500 lifeline
- Evening judgment
Short-term bias: bullish but momentum weakening, RSI approaching overbought
Main rhythm: high-level oscillation → test support → choose direction again
Don’t chase highs, wait for support to stabilize before going long; light positions on rebounds to try short if encountering resistance

二、ETH 晚间（二饼）

Current range: $2,340–$2,380 linked to a relatively strong trend

- Resistance levels:
First resistance $2,420–$2,440
Strong resistance $2,480–$2,500 (heavy trapped orders zone)
- Support levels:
First support $2,310–$2,330
Strong support $2,250–$2,260
- Evening judgment
Stronger than BTC, bottom structure gradually improving
Maintain a bullish bias above $2,310
Rebound and stabilize above $2,310–$2,330 to go long
Breakthrough above $2,440 look for $2,480 to reduce positions

三、晚间操作要点（简洁版）

- BTC
Long: wait for $72,800–$73,000 to stabilize, stop loss below $72,200
Short: resistance at $74,800–$75,000, stop loss above $75,500
- ETH
Long: stabilize above $2,310–$2,330, stop loss below $2,280
Short: resistance at $2,440–$2,480, stop loss above $2,510
- Risk control
Evening news (US-Iran, US stocks) has significant impact
Use light positions, quick entries and exits, strict stop-loss
Avoid holding through breakouts, adjust strategy promptly

一句话总结：
BTC oscillates at high levels, watch support; ETH relatively strong, pullback to go long; evening risk strictly controlled, avoid stubborn battles.
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