Search result of PM

This article explores the core pricing mechanisms of prediction markets, including Continuous Double Auction (CDA) and Logarithmic Market Scoring Rule (LMSR), analyzing how they dynamically adjust to reflect event probabilities. By delving into liquidity and pricing logic, it reveals the unique advantages of prediction markets in probability forecasting. The article also introduces Paradigm’s latest pm-AMM model.

Night session trading hours run from 3:00 pm to 5:00 am the following day (TST). These hours align with major U.S. stock market trading periods. During the night session, a broad range of derivatives—including TAIEX futures, electronics index futures, financial sector futures, and mini TAIEX futures—are offered for trading.

xStocks is launching an exclusive challenge event for new users from 4:00 PM on July 15, 2025, to 4:00 PM on July 23, 2025 (UTC+8). New users can qualify by registering and making their first deposit or trade.

The event will take place from 12:00 PM UTC on September 19, 2025, to 12:00 PM UTC on September 23, 2025. Participants can earn up to 2.94 million DL in airdrop rewards by staking GUSD or DL, and all airdropped tokens will be fully unlocked.

CandyDrop Global Airdrop Event 6.0 focuses on contract trading. Users who complete the designated trading tasks will be eligible to share in a total airdrop prize pool of 6 BTC. The event period is from July 31, 2025, at 7:00 PM to August 15, 2025, at 7:00 PM (UTC+8).

The event offers two sections: benefits exclusively for new users, and interest rewards available to both new and existing users. The event runs from 8:00 PM on July 22, 2025, to 8:00 PM on July 29, 2025 (UTC+8). To participate, users must complete identity verification and event registration.

The Gate CandyDrop Universal Airdrop 7.0 event will take place from 6:00 PM on August 13, 2025, to 6:00 PM on August 30, 2025 (UTC+8). By completing designated contract trading activities, users can register to participate and share the prize pool. Users can earn up to 1 ETH as an immediate reward.

CandyDrop is Gate's official airdrop platform, allowing users to participate by completing simple tasks to receive respective token rewards. The total reward pool will be allocated proportionally based on each user's share of tokens acquired. The event will take place from July 31, 2025, at 7:00 PM to August 15, 2025, at 7:00 PM (UTC+8).

The event runs from July 21, 2025, at 08:00 AM to July 26, 2025, at 03:59 PM (UTC). Please click the "Join Now" button to claim your eligibility for the airdrop before participating.

Gate Launchpad Plasma (XPL) token distribution is complete. Users who subscribed with GUSD are eligible for a 4.4% annualized yield, and spot trading began at 1:00 PM UTC on September 25, 2025, providing access to both yield generation and trading opportunities.

As the launch date nears, Gate, a leading exchange, is actively integrating WLFI into its product lineup. WLFI spot trading will begin on September 1, 2025, at 8:00 PM (UTC+8). Gate is positioning WLFI as a highly liquid, high-leverage trading asset.

This round of Gitcoin Grants, GG22, primarily focuses on OSS initiatives and 7 community-led rounds. Compared to the previous round, GG21 (detailed in "Selected Projects Worth Donating in Gitcoin Grant 21"), this round leans more towards projects focused on cryptographic infrastructure, dApps, and developer tools. Additionally, Gitcoin Grant 22 has integrated the Quick Bridge feature, allowing users to perform cross-chain bridging and swaps on the platform. Moreover, with the US presidential election approaching, cryptocurrency advocacy organizations are also worth paying attention to. The donation deadline for all selected projects is 11:59 PM on November 7th, Beijing Time. Below are detailed introductions to recommended donation projects. Click on the corresponding link to go directly to the project donation page.

Who’s Quietly Cashing In on Polymarket? The Brutal Truth Revealed by Analyzing 40 Top Addresses. In Q1 2026, prediction market analyst Leo performed a reverse analysis of the top 40 leaderboard addresses, covering more than 100,000 on-chain transactions. His research uncovers three core strategies behind multimillion-dollar profits: directional traders who exploit information asymmetries in the five major sports leagues by “only buying, never selling”; structural market makers who dominate binary options liquidity on crypto price movements; and cognitive hunters who use weather modeling to identify pricing inefficiencies. The data shows that even the top-ranked address, kch123, can lose its advantage in milliseconds if it loses pricing power. Leveraging the most robust on-chain redemption data (REDEEM/MERGE), this article demonstrates that in prediction markets, picking the right game matters more than simply optimizing parameters.

This article explains when Ethereum gas fees are typically lowest. It helps you identify the lowest Ethereum network gas fees and reduce transaction costs through data analysis, time zone considerations, and practical techniques.

Gate Research Daily Report: August 12—BTC and ETH prices declined, with both BTC and ETH ETFs experiencing net outflows last Friday. Market contract liquidations were predominantly in long positions, and BTC holdings on centralized exchanges saw a significant drop. Additionally, key projects such as the Bitcoin Rollup network Nexio and gaming infrastructure provider Televerse secured important funding.