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Rising Tensions in the Strait of Hormuz: What’s Behind Bitcoin’s Resilience at $70,000?

Rising Tensions in the Strait of Hormuz: What’s Behind Bitcoin’s Resilience at $70,000?

The escalating conflict between the US and Iran has driven oil prices up to $95, while BTC continues to show resilience near the $70,000 mark. This article examines the transmission mechanisms of geopolitical risk, the logic behind market risk aversion, and the key variables that will shape the market outlook.

Blog Team2026-03-12

Federal Reserve March 18 Rate Decision Preview: Oil Price Shock and Polymarket’s 98% Probability of No Rate Cut Analyzed

Federal Reserve March 18 Rate Decision Preview: Oil Price Shock and Polymarket’s 98% Probability of No Rate Cut Analyzed

On the eve of the March 18 FOMC meeting, Polymarket indicates a 98% probability that interest rates will remain unchanged. This article examines how rising oil prices are emerging as a new variable in inflation, and explores their multifaceted impact on crypto liquidity across various scenarios.

Blog Team2026-03-12

Analysis of the Macroeconomic Impact of the February US CPI Release: March Rate Cut Probability Drops Below 1%

Analysis of the Macroeconomic Impact of the February US CPI Release: March Rate Cut Probability Drops Below 1%

U.S. February CPI rose 2.4% year-over-year, in line with expectations, but the probability of a rate cut in March has dropped to just 0.7%. Geopolitical tensions have driven up oil prices, pushing market expectations for a rate cut back to September. As a result, the crypto market remains under pressure and is awaiting further developments.

Blog Team2026-03-12

IEA’s Largest Oil Release in History: Analyzing the Impact of 400 Million Barrels Intervention and the Middle East Supply Crisis

IEA’s Largest Oil Release in History: Analyzing the Impact of 400 Million Barrels Intervention and the Middle East Supply Crisis

The IEA Announces Largest-Ever Release of 400 Million Barrels from Strategic Oil Reserves to Counter Middle East Risks This article provides an in-depth analysis of the reserve release details, explores market disagreements and the real impact, and examines the potential ripple effects on the crypto market.

Blog Team2026-03-12

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Goldman Sachs Raises Q4 Oil Price Forecast: Analyzing Geopolitical Risks and Global Supply-Demand Dynamics

Goldman Sachs Raises Q4 Oil Price Forecast: Analyzing Geopolitical Risks and Global Supply-Demand Dynamics

Goldman Sachs has raised its Brent and WTI crude oil price forecasts for Q4 2026 to $71 and $67, respectively. This article breaks down the inventory and geopolitical factors driving the adjustment, reviews both bullish and bearish perspectives in the market, and explores the potential implications for the cryptocurrency sector.

Blog Team2026-03-12

How XTI Responds When Strait of Hormuz Risks Shake Global Supply Chains

How XTI Responds When Strait of Hormuz Risks Shake Global Supply Chains

In-depth analysis of XTI, Strait of Hormuz risks, supply-chain disruption, inflation pressure, and how oil volatility can spill into crypto markets.

Blog Team2026-03-12

USOR Oil Narrative Trading Logic: How Energy Macro Events Drive Token Prices

USOR Oil Narrative Trading Logic: How Energy Macro Events Drive Token Prices

Analyzing the trading logic behind the USOR oil narrative token. How do geopolitical and energy headlines drive prices through on-chain sentiment? Combining DEX liquidity structure and holder concentration data, this article explores USOR’s short-term breakout mechanism and long-term mean-reversion risks.

Blog Team2026-03-11

Iran’s Mine Deployment in the Strait of Hormuz Revealed: Trump Warns of "Unprecedented" Military Strike

Iran’s Mine Deployment in the Strait of Hormuz Revealed: Trump Warns of "Unprecedented" Military Strike

Iran Reportedly Lays Mines in the Strait of Hormuz as Trump Warns of Military Action. This article analyzes the background of the incident, potential energy supply shortages, oil price volatility, and explores multiple scenarios for the impact on the crypto market.

Blog Team2026-03-11

Polymarket Bets on Oil Surpassing $100? Unpacking the Trading Logic Behind the Hormuz Crisis in Prediction Markets

Polymarket Bets on Oil Surpassing $100? Unpacking the Trading Logic Behind the Hormuz Crisis in Prediction Markets

Polymarket Sees Surge in "Oil Bets" as Strait of Hormuz Crisis Takes Center Stage This article provides an in-depth analysis of the geopolitical drivers, market impact, and potential risks behind this trend, offering insights into how crypto prediction markets are responding to this emerging variable.

Blog Team2026-03-10