Is Bitcoin Near a Bottom? The $75K–$78K Support Zone and Three-Drives Pattern Could Trigger a Rebound

Current Market Background and Review of Bitcoin’s Decline

Recently, Bitcoin prices have experienced a significant decline, breaking through multiple key supports, putting pressure on market sentiment. The overall trend shows continuous decline, with lows being raised or lowered repeatedly — traditional bearish signals are evident.

At the same time, the flow of institutional funds has also brought pressure. Since October of this year, several billion dollars have flowed out of certain large cryptocurrency ETFs, which has impacted market liquidity and investor confidence.

The importance of the support zone and why to pay attention to $75K–$78K

The current Bitcoin is approaching the $75,000–$78,000 range, which is not only an important low point in history multiple times but also one of the remaining major support areas. If this range holds, it will have a high defensive value.

During the bear market phase, the stability of the support zone is crucial for preventing further declines, alleviating selling pressure, and stabilizing market sentiment.

Interpretation of Three-Drives Model and Corresponding Technical Signals for Bitcoin

The Three-Drives pattern is a typical reversal structure - three downward drives + two intermediate corrections. The current Bitcoin sequence has already formed the first two downward drives, and the price is approaching the possible range for the third drive. If the third downward move completes and rebounds quickly, and the price successfully fills the support range, this will constitute a strong reversal signal.

This pattern has historically foreshadowed trend reversals multiple times, and is therefore considered a highly valuable signal from a technical perspective.

If the bottom is confirmed, a market change may be coming.

• Market sentiment may improve rapidly, and selling pressure eases — investor confidence is restored.
• The price may rebound to $80,000 or even higher, initiating a new upward trend.
• Institutions and retail investors may re-enter the market, with trading volume and on-chain activity rebounding.

This will be an important turning point “from bear market to new cycle.”

How should investors seize opportunities and prevent risks?

• Be cautious to see if a third decline forms + strong rebound —— consider positioning only after confirmation signals appear.
• It is not advisable to blindly increase positions during a decline to avoid losses caused by the support being broken.
• Set stop-loss and take-profit levels reasonably, and avoid chasing highs and selling lows.
• For medium to long-term investors, it is advisable to gradually allocate investments in batches to reduce cost pressure.

Summary

Currently, Bitcoin is nearing the key support range of $75,000–$78,000, while a potential Three-Drives reversal pattern appears in the chart. This could be an important signal for Bitcoin to build a structural bottom and may serve as the starting point for a new round of upward movement. However, given the complex market environment and uncertain capital flow, it is recommended that investors remain cautious, exercise rational judgment, and avoid blindly following trends.