"Black Swan Fund" founder Mark Spitznagel stated that the US stock market will continue to rise and is expected to perform strongly within the "Goldilocks zone" over the next year, but also warned that the market has entered the final stage of a bubble. He emphasized that economic resilience supports the stock market, but if the Federal Reserve maintains high interest rates, corporate financing will be constrained, potentially leading to a sharp market reversal.

February 10 News, as the spot gold price approaches $5,000 per ounce, the valuation gap between altcoins and gold has widened sharply. Crypto analyst Michaël van de Poppe pointed out that the current "altcoin-to-gold" ratio has fallen to its lowest historical level, with the weekly RSI dropping to 25, approaching the extreme levels seen during the 2020 pandemic black swan event. This indicator is seen as a "structural low-price" signal for non-mainstream crypto assets relative to precious metals. Against the backdrop of a strong rally in gold, RWA tokens linked to physical gold have become some of the few contrarian assets. PAX Gold (PAXG) fluctuates around $5,035, with a daily trading volume exceeding $400 million; Tether Gold (XAUT) remains around $5,013, with a nearly 11% increase over the past month. However, from a global perspective, the market size of tokenized commodities is only about $800 million to $1 billion, still very limited compared to the trillions of dollars in the global spot gold market.

BlockBeats News, February 5th, Arthur Hayes posted on social media, saying, "Maybe I should pay attention to the 'Black Swan' event today, after all, BTC's movement is too abnormal."

Bitcoin prices have dropped sharply in the past 24 hours, falling below the $71,000 mark at one point. The market experienced a concentrated sell-off, causing the world's largest Bitcoin holding institution, Strategy, to face significant unrealized losses. Data shows that the company's current unrealized Bitcoin losses have reached approximately $3.8 billion. This decline coincided with Michael Saylor's birthday, and market volatility has noticeably increased. On-chain liquidation data indicates that the total liquidation volume across the network in the past 24 hours is about $777 million, mainly from long positions, reflecting an acceleration in short-term leveraged position unwinding.

Odaily星球日报讯 美国国家经济委员会主任哈塞特表示除非出现某种“黑天鹅”式的干扰，否则“我们将迎来经济史上的黄金一年”。他补充说，如果明年第一和第二季度的增长速度只有 3%，他会感到“失望”。“增长率很容易就能再高出一个百分点。”此外，哈塞特还重申了他的预期，即美联储决策者将在下周的会议上降低利率。“现在是美联储再次谨慎降息的好时机。”（金十）

BlockBeats news, on November 14, Liquid Capital (formerly LD Capital) founder Yi Lihua stated: "Due to the decrease in the expectation of interest rate cuts in December, the US stock market and cryptocurrency experienced a big dump, but I still firmly believe that the best buy the dip opportunity is between $3000 and $3300. We are consistent in our actions and words. Previously, Ethereum fell to $2700 due to a black swan event, but we still insisted on maintaining our borrowing leverage. However, the psychological pressure was immense, causing insomnia every day, which led us to unload leverage early when Ethereum was above $3000. This time, we are buying the dip in the spot market without leverage, adhering to the strategy of increasing the position when there is a pullback, and patiently waiting."

Golden Finance reports that, according to Bitcoin News, Swan has become the first Bitcoin specialty company authorized to provide a full range of services to users in New York, including purchasing Bitcoin and unlimited withdrawals to self-hosted wallets.

ChainCatcher news, trader Eugene initiated a vote on his TG regarding the statistics of investors' fund losses from the Black Swan Event on October 11. The results show that 20% of participants lost more than 50% of their principal, nearly 40% suffered losses exceeding 20%, while about 45% of investors kept their losses below 10%. Previous reports indicated that Eugene had already reduced his positions and locked in profits before the outbreak of the Black Swan Event, successfully lowering his risk exposure.

BlockRock's "Black Swan Event Strategy" product performed outstandingly during the market big dump, achieving up to 60 times returns through the allocation of out-of-the-money options, helping investors to defend steadily and profit in reverse during extreme market conditions. This strategy aims to capture the significant gains brought by Black Swan Events.

BlockBeats news, on October 11, the HLP treasury took over a large number of clearing positions during the market "black swan" fall this morning, earning over 41 million dollars in 24 hours. The return rate over the past month has surged to 188% APR.