Based on the latest market dynamics as of April 27, 2025, and the real-time market conditions of Ethereum (ETH), combined with technical analysis and on-chain data, the following trading strategy is formulated.

Core strategy and point
1. Short at resistance level
- Entry conditions: Price rebounds to the 1,820-1,840 USD area facing resistance (main selling zone on April 26), combined with a 1-hour KDJ death cross or long upper shadow signal.
- Target: Retrace to $1,770-$1,800 (short-term support zone), break below to watch $1,750.
- Stop-loss: Set above $1,850 to guard against false breakout risks.
2. Buy on support rebound
- Entry conditions: Price retraces to stabilize in the range of $1,750-$1,770 (daily EMA30 support), combined with increased trading volume or RSI oversold (<30).
- Target: Bounce to $1,800-$1,820, take profit in batches after breaking through.
- Stop loss: strictly set below $1,730, with risk control within 3%.
3. Breakthrough Long Position
- Entry Conditions: If the price stabilizes above $1,840 (previous resistance), a 1-hour closing confirmation of a valid breakout is required, and the ETH/BTC exchange rate must rise above 0.019.
- Target: Looking at $1,880-1,900 in the short term (upper band of the weekly Bollinger Bands), and if it breaks through, looking at $1,950.
- Stop Loss: Dynamically adjust to below $1,800 to protect profits.
Market risks and interconnected factors
- On-chain pressure: The net supply of ETH increased by 16,913 over the past 7 days, and short-term selling pressure may intensify; if it falls below $1,750, it could trigger over $336 million in liquidations.
- BTC correlation: If Bitcoin falls below the psychological level of $80,000, it may drag ETH down; conversely, breaking through $85,000 could drive a correlated rise.
- Institutional Dynamics: Institutions like Fidelity continue to increase their holdings in the ETH spot ETF (net inflow of $33.84 million in the last 24 hours), but caution is needed regarding the short-term pullback caused by the main players offloading near $1,820.
Position and Risk Control
- Total position: ≤50%, single leverage ≤3-5 times, avoid heavy betting.
- Stop-loss discipline: Strictly set stop-loss orders. If ETH falls below $1,730 or BTC loses $80,000, decisively exit the position.
- Replenishment plan: If the price plummets below $1,700, reserve 30% of funds for phased entry, betting on a technical rebound.
Summary
ETH is currently in a fluctuation range of $1,750 to $1,840, mainly focusing on high selling and low buying during the day. If it stabilizes above $1,840, positions can be increased accordingly; if it faces resistance, consider shorting. Pay attention to the main capital flow and its correlation with BTC, strictly set stop-loss orders to avoid chasing highs and cutting losses. #CandyDrop 上线