Independent market analyst Dom (@traderview2) has drawn attention from the cryptocurrency community to an unofficial but increasingly noted rate: XRP priced according to West Texas Intermediate crude oil. The Relationship Between XRP And USOIL In a two-hour TradingView screenshot posted on May 14, the analyst shows the XRP/USOIL pair fading—twice—at the same resistance level that has constrained price action since mid-December. "Last night, we hit the highest level in five months once again, and the price was completely rejected," he wrote, adding that "it is incredible how much we respect this level as it creates a clear zone that the buyers need to reclaim fully for the next bullish momentum."
Since December of last year, the price of XRP has been knocked down six times within the same exact resistance zone. On May 13, Dom wrote: "Can you ask for a clearer range? This chart should be included in textbooks... We know the importance of the highs in this range. If it is broken, the likelihood of $XRP reaching a new ATH will increase significantly. We know what happened right after BTC / USOIL reached ATH two weeks ago, I expect something similar here. Patience, this needs momentum to break out here." That upper limit is marked on Dom's chart with a dark gray block from about 0.0418 to 0.0430. Each of the last two probes into this range—once during the Asian trading session on May 12, the second during the New York trading session on May 14—created strong bearish wicks. Moreover, the ongoing uptrend is occurring against strong selling pressure on spot tokens. Citing on-chain order flow analysis, Dom emphasized that "210 million dollars worth of XRP has been sold net on the market in the past seven days—yet, XRP still rose twenty percent." He argued that such divergence implies absorption by professional liquidity providers rather than excitement from retail traders: "Market makers or whales are likely absorbing positive demand through passive limit bids. When that momentum continues, it often precedes a breakout rally when sellers are exhausted." Community members were quick to ask what a sure breakout could signal for dollar-denominated XRP. One follower, The Standard (@Xrpdemon589), emphasized: "Do you think that if it breaks, it will have another parabolic move that breaks ATH?" Dom replied, "If we see a complete breakout, then historically yes, there is only time left for XRP/USD to reach a new high." Crypto commentator Moon Lambo (@MoonLamboio) questioned the intellectual basis for linking energy-based ratios to independent tokens. Dom admits there is no fundamental argument proven, but emphasizes the utility of analysis: "I really just think it provides a different perspective on price action when we tie it to something deeply intertwined with the economic system. I don't think there's any specific relationship — instead, it's helpful to see things that you wouldn't otherwise see on the USD pair." Technically, maps are binary. Dom reiterated that he had "set the alarm for a complete breakout" above 0.0418–0.0430; Any two-hour closure in that area, in his view, would constitute an extension of the decisive range and "create a runway for the buyers for the next bullish impulse". Instead, if buyers abandon the amber pivot point at 0.0394, the door will reopen to the minor support level of 0.0378, with a break there exposing the 0.0357 floor and negating the current string of higher lows. Until either boundary yields, XRP/USOIL remains in its five-month box, but the act of keeping an eye on the pair, Dom argues, will further sharpen the macro perspective of traders. He wrote that "BTC, USOIL, XRP — combining them is just another way to determine liquidity." "Sometimes, the advantage is simply to look at the same market from a slightly different angle."
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
Independent market analyst Dom (@traderview2) has drawn attention from the cryptocurrency community to an unofficial but increasingly noted rate: XRP priced according to West Texas Intermediate crude oil. The Relationship Between XRP And USOIL In a two-hour TradingView screenshot posted on May 14, the analyst shows the XRP/USOIL pair fading—twice—at the same resistance level that has constrained price action since mid-December. "Last night, we hit the highest level in five months once again, and the price was completely rejected," he wrote, adding that "it is incredible how much we respect this level as it creates a clear zone that the buyers need to reclaim fully for the next bullish momentum."
Since December of last year, the price of XRP has been knocked down six times within the same exact resistance zone. On May 13, Dom wrote: "Can you ask for a clearer range? This chart should be included in textbooks... We know the importance of the highs in this range. If it is broken, the likelihood of $XRP reaching a new ATH will increase significantly. We know what happened right after BTC / USOIL reached ATH two weeks ago, I expect something similar here. Patience, this needs momentum to break out here." That upper limit is marked on Dom's chart with a dark gray block from about 0.0418 to 0.0430. Each of the last two probes into this range—once during the Asian trading session on May 12, the second during the New York trading session on May 14—created strong bearish wicks.
Moreover, the ongoing uptrend is occurring against strong selling pressure on spot tokens. Citing on-chain order flow analysis, Dom emphasized that "210 million dollars worth of XRP has been sold net on the market in the past seven days—yet, XRP still rose twenty percent." He argued that such divergence implies absorption by professional liquidity providers rather than excitement from retail traders: "Market makers or whales are likely absorbing positive demand through passive limit bids. When that momentum continues, it often precedes a breakout rally when sellers are exhausted."
Community members were quick to ask what a sure breakout could signal for dollar-denominated XRP. One follower, The Standard (@Xrpdemon589), emphasized: "Do you think that if it breaks, it will have another parabolic move that breaks ATH?" Dom replied, "If we see a complete breakout, then historically yes, there is only time left for XRP/USD to reach a new high." Crypto commentator Moon Lambo (@MoonLamboio) questioned the intellectual basis for linking energy-based ratios to independent tokens. Dom admits there is no fundamental argument proven, but emphasizes the utility of analysis: "I really just think it provides a different perspective on price action when we tie it to something deeply intertwined with the economic system. I don't think there's any specific relationship — instead, it's helpful to see things that you wouldn't otherwise see on the USD pair." Technically, maps are binary. Dom reiterated that he had "set the alarm for a complete breakout" above 0.0418–0.0430; Any two-hour closure in that area, in his view, would constitute an extension of the decisive range and "create a runway for the buyers for the next bullish impulse". Instead, if buyers abandon the amber pivot point at 0.0394, the door will reopen to the minor support level of 0.0378, with a break there exposing the 0.0357 floor and negating the current string of higher lows. Until either boundary yields, XRP/USOIL remains in its five-month box, but the act of keeping an eye on the pair, Dom argues, will further sharpen the macro perspective of traders. He wrote that "BTC, USOIL, XRP — combining them is just another way to determine liquidity." "Sometimes, the advantage is simply to look at the same market from a slightly different angle."