๐ฏ FED Rate Cuts in Sight? BTC Holds Strong! ๐๐ธ Three Weak Economic Reports Trigger Rate Cut Speculation โ But Bitcoin Stays Cool.
๐ June 5, 2025 | Evening BTC Analysis
๐ U.S. ECONOMY FLASHES WARNING SIGNS
1. ADP Jobs Report: Only 37,000 jobs added in May (vs. 115,000 expected)
2. ISM Services Index: Dropped to 49.9 โ first contraction in a year
3. Fed Beige Book: Half of U.S. regions report slight to moderate decline
๐ Market Impact:
10Y Treasury yield: Drops to 4.36%, lowest in a month
Rate cut expectations soar:
July: 29% chance (โ from 22%)
September: 76% probability!
๐ฃ Trump: โPowell must cut rates now!โ Eyes now turn to Fridayโs Non-Farm Payrolls (forecast: 130K) โ a weak print could lock in a cut.
---
๐ฐ BTC โ UNMOVED BUT UNSHAKEN
Price holds steady at $105,000
Up ~50% since mid-April
No surge despite dovish rate outlook ๐ BTCโs behavior reflects growing independence from traditional macro triggers.
๐ง Analyst Takeaway: BTC is maturing into a macro hedge and independent asset, less tied to rate speculation.
---
๐ INVESTMENT STRATEGY โ BTC & U.S. Stocks
Combine BTC + U.S. equities for dual exposure
Switch positions based on timing signals โ Platforms like Interactive Brokers and BiyaPay offer seamless investment across BTC & stocks.
๐ BiyaPay Highlights:
Licensed in the U.S., New Zealand, etc.
Fast global remittance
Low fees, no transfer limits
SEC-authorized for Bitcoin & U.S. stock trading
---
๐ BTC EVENING TECHNICAL OUTLOOK (6.5) 4-Hour Chart: Ongoing sideways movement
Resistance: 106,000, breakout at 106,800 ends short-term correction
Support: Small bottom forming near 104,000 โ breach may trigger sharp drop
๐ฏ Strategies: ๐บ Radical Traders:
Short BTC at 1047, target 1040, further down to 1030-1020 on breakdown ๐ป Steady Players:
Short on rebound at 1055โ1060, same target levels
---
๐งญ Conclusion: Despite rising hopes for a FED pivot, BTC shows strong resilience and evolving dynamics. A decoupled Bitcoin strengthens its case as a core portfolio asset.
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
---
๐ฏ FED Rate Cuts in Sight? BTC Holds Strong! ๐๐ธ
Three Weak Economic Reports Trigger Rate Cut Speculation โ But Bitcoin Stays Cool.
๐ June 5, 2025 | Evening BTC Analysis
๐ U.S. ECONOMY FLASHES WARNING SIGNS
1. ADP Jobs Report: Only 37,000 jobs added in May (vs. 115,000 expected)
2. ISM Services Index: Dropped to 49.9 โ first contraction in a year
3. Fed Beige Book: Half of U.S. regions report slight to moderate decline
๐ Market Impact:
10Y Treasury yield: Drops to 4.36%, lowest in a month
Rate cut expectations soar:
July: 29% chance (โ from 22%)
September: 76% probability!
๐ฃ Trump: โPowell must cut rates now!โ
Eyes now turn to Fridayโs Non-Farm Payrolls (forecast: 130K) โ a weak print could lock in a cut.
---
๐ฐ BTC โ UNMOVED BUT UNSHAKEN
Price holds steady at $105,000
Up ~50% since mid-April
No surge despite dovish rate outlook
๐ BTCโs behavior reflects growing independence from traditional macro triggers.
๐ง Analyst Takeaway:
BTC is maturing into a macro hedge and independent asset, less tied to rate speculation.
---
๐ INVESTMENT STRATEGY โ BTC & U.S. Stocks
Combine BTC + U.S. equities for dual exposure
Switch positions based on timing signals
โ Platforms like Interactive Brokers and BiyaPay offer seamless investment across BTC & stocks.
๐ BiyaPay Highlights:
Licensed in the U.S., New Zealand, etc.
Fast global remittance
Low fees, no transfer limits
SEC-authorized for Bitcoin & U.S. stock trading
---
๐ BTC EVENING TECHNICAL OUTLOOK (6.5)
4-Hour Chart: Ongoing sideways movement
Resistance: 106,000, breakout at 106,800 ends short-term correction
Support: Small bottom forming near 104,000 โ breach may trigger sharp drop
๐ฏ Strategies:
๐บ Radical Traders:
Short BTC at 1047, target 1040, further down to 1030-1020 on breakdown
๐ป Steady Players:
Short on rebound at 1055โ1060, same target levels
---
๐งญ Conclusion:
Despite rising hopes for a FED pivot, BTC shows strong resilience and evolving dynamics. A decoupled Bitcoin strengthens its case as a core portfolio asset.
๐ โDonโt just react. Strategize.โ
#BTC FED #RateCuts CryptoStrategy #BiyaPay MacroTrends #BitcoinAnalysis
---
#BTC ETF Accepted as Loan Collateral #BlackRock Buys $560M in ETH #June Market Forecast