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The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining the interest rate unchanged in July is 84.5%
According to data from Jinshi, the CME "Federal Reserve Watch" indicates that the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining the interest rate unchanged in July is 84.5%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 15.5%.
In addition, the probability of maintaining the Intrerest Rate in September is 30%, the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 60%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points is 10%.