Based on the latest market conditions of Ethereum (ETH) on July 15, 2025 (KDJ golden cross pattern initially appeared, MACD histogram turned positive), the following precise strategy is formulated:

Core Strategy and Points
Breakthrough to long positions

Entry conditions: Price stabilizes above $2950 (psychological level + MA10 support), requires a 1-hour closing confirmation and trading volume > 50,000.

Target: Short-term outlook towards $3000-3020 (previous high resistance area), after the breakthrough look towards $3050.

Stop loss: set below $2930 (daily low + KDJ support).

Long at support level

Entry conditions: Price retraces to $2920-2930 (RSI3 support area + MACD strengthening area), combined with KDJ golden cross pattern (K>D) or increased trading volume.

Target: Bounce to $2950-2980, break through $3000 to take profit in batches.

Stop loss: Set strictly below $2900.

Resistance level short selling

Entry conditions: Price rebounds to $3000-3020 and faces resistance, showing a long upper shadow or RSI1>70 overbought signal.

Target: Pull back to 2960-2970 USD, if broken look for 2930 USD.

Stop loss: set above $3035.

Key Signals and Risk Control
MACD Momentum: Histogram 5.10 (positive value expanding), DIF ( -0.45) crosses above DEA ( -3.00) forming a golden cross pattern, short-term bullish.

KDJ structure: K(58.49) crosses above D(66.98), the golden cross pattern is emerging, with J value of 41.52 indicating sufficient rebound space.

RSI indicates: 47.93 neutral zone, holding above 50 will strengthen the bullish trend.

Key Volume: The 5-day average volume of 50,399 needs to break through and expand to above 60,000 to prevent false bullish signals.

Position management
Total position: ≤50%, breakout single leverage ≤3x, support single leverage ≤2x.

Stop Loss Discipline:

Long position: Exit below $2900

Short position: exit at the breakout of 3035 USD.

Take Profit Strategy:

Long position 3000 halved, liquidate at 3020

Short position 2960 halved, liquidated at 2930.

Summary
ETH is in a fluctuating upward channel between 2920-3020 USD:

Stabilize at 2950 with increased volume → chase more

Pullback to 2920 stabilizes → Long position

Volume surged to 3000 → shorting attempt
Pay close attention to the continuity of the MACD histogram and the effectiveness of the KDJ golden cross pattern, and strictly set stop-loss limits to avoid false breakout risks. #Gate衍生品交易量新高 #Gate 2025 Q2报告出炉 #CPI数据来袭 #ETH