Bitcoin (BTC-USD) is battling the support level of $110,000, which investors are calling an "either-or" zone. On Wednesday, the cryptocurrency rebounded slightly to $111,710, posting a daily gain of 0.9%, but analysts say this isn't enough. Swissblock has identified $110,000 as a lifeline for Bitcoin, emphasizing that failure to maintain this level risks triggering a stronger correction. AlphaBTC emphasized that only a four-hour close above $112,000 will confirm stability; otherwise, the path to $105,000 remains open. There is concern that if this zone gives way, a psychological test of $100,000 may be inevitable.

Technical Structure Reveals Persistent Weaknesses
From its peak at $124,533 on August 14, Bitcoin has fallen by over 11%, forming a bearish downtrend. On the daily charts, resistance currently lies at the 50-day moving average at $116,553, with support between $108,695 and $110,000. Momentum indicators remain unfavorable: an RSI below 50 signals seller dominance, and the MACD continues to flash red. In terms of liquidity, short positions were liquidated at $112,300, but if BTC fails to reclaim $113,000, long positions will be the next target. Bearish extensions point to levels of $105,150 or $101,550, which align with price gaps seen during previous sell-offs.
On-chain metrics challenge optimistic forecasts
Data from Glassnode indicates declining speculative demand. Monthly adjusted transfer volume fell 13%, from $26.7 billion to $23.2 billion, a decline below the yearly average of $21.6 billion signaling further erosion in demand. The Taker Buy-Sell Ratio fell to -0.945, the lowest level since November 2021, when BTC reached near $69,000 before collapsing in a multi-month bear market. The negative ratio reflects persistent selling pressure overwhelming buyer activity, underscoring the structural fragility of the current price situation.
Whale Activity and Exchange Inflows Increase Pressure
Large players are once again shaping sentiment. A Satoshi-era whale sold 3,968 BTC, worth $437 million, investing a significant portion of the funds in Ethereum. The Exchange Whale Ratio is rising, showing that inflows from major investors are increasing relative to total volume, which often precedes market-wide distribution. If whales continue to sell off while BTC hovers around $110,000, this could tip the scales toward a deeper collapse.
Hash Rate and Mining Fundamentals Signal Long-Term Strength
Despite short-term volatility, Bitcoin's core infrastructure is growing rapidly. The hash rate reached 944 EH/s, and mining difficulty reached a record high of 129.7 trillion, solidifying the network's all-time high in security. Mining companies are expanding rapidly. HIVE Digital Technologies surpassed 16 EH/s, doubling BTC production to 8 coins per day and holding 610 BTC worth $67.7 million. The plan is to reach 25 EH/s by the end of the year, which would increase daily production to 12 BTC. This discrepancy between the downward price action and the upward mining investment underscores long-term confidence that is not being reflected#Commerce Dept. Goes On-Chain #Google Cloud Unveils L1 chain GCUL #Bitcoin Whale Sell-Off Continues #BTC vs. ETH Showdown #Crypto-Related xStocks Rally