Market analysis for BTC/ETH on September 26, 2025 at 9:45 AM

That night, 4.5 billion CNY vanished into thin air, and 189,564 people went bankrupt to zero! This kind of drop is undoubtedly a way to take your life while you're trapped. The current trend, as mentioned multiple times since last Friday, belongs to the bearish trend on the 1h/2h/4h charts. The rebound is too weak; apart from the short opportunity at 4492 over the weekend, there has been no rebound since the start of this Monday. If you didn't get in, you can only gamble on the key support level for a pullback, but it's not a reversal!
The current wave of decline at the 1-hour level will most likely stabilize and bottom out during this time frame tonight and next Monday night; if it extends, we will need to look at the time around the big non-farm payroll next week, or even around the 13th of next month (based on indicators, time cycles, and simple speculation on market fundamentals. Each event's changes will also lead to changes in the prediction, which is dynamic rather than static).
Considering the small and large non-farm payrolls, the large non-farm employment number next Friday is expected to double, mainly because the July large non-farm data hit a year-low of only 22,000 jobs, and the downside space is indeed limited. There are still two rate decisions left this year: October 30 at 2:00 AM and December 11 at 3:00 AM!
If the non-farm payrolls meet the expected value, it is an unfavorable basis for interest rate cuts!
BTC Attention
Support 107500/106132/104757
The pressure is temporarily set at 114000
At this moment, the key level of 109465 during the day is whether it can hold and if there will be a need for a rebound at 111950. First, focus on the gains and losses at 109465!
ETH Attention
Support 3724/3604/3526
Pressure temporarily set at 4295
The key point at this moment is to observe whether 3895 can gain or lose within the day and whether 4010 can break through and retrace to 4110!
In terms of operation: The orders placed last night at 109465 and 3895 entered the market. Although there was a violent drop in the early morning, it has now recovered, which is the role of the key support level. Even if it breaks through for the first time, the indicators will also give you a chance to escape. This is why these levels can be used for placing orders; Bitcoin moves out around 300 dollars, and the rice bowl can barely cover the costs, so a stop-loss setting can be established. Bitcoin can exit at break-even without making a profit to create space for taking profits and reducing positions; the altcoin has now moved out 60 dollars, and you should exit 70% with your eyes closed!
He Yuan can only play with BTC and ETH, at most adding a SORO and LTC dog, everything else can temporarily stand aside!
#GT #Gate广场新手村第二期 #BTC #ETH