I'm here for some mental reassurance again, because recently BTC's performance has been unusually weak, and the US stock market is also at high levels. Everyone is starting to worry whether the four-year cycle has begun and BTC has entered a bear market.

At this point, it's worth recalling that in the first quarter of this year, all expectations for BTC after Trump's inauguration were fulfilled, including tariff battles and the pause in interest rate cuts. All these unfavourable information caused BTC to fall by 30% from its high, followed by a series of spectacular upward rallies.

Currently, BTC has fallen about 20% from its high. Even if events similar to tariffs happen again, it would only cause another 10-15% decline, and this is the worst-case scenario. From this perspective, at this position, the opportunity outweighs the risk.