#美国终止政府关闭 First, let's talk about the current situation of Bitcoin. This position of 96800, the weekend is basically the ceiling. Yesterday morning, it bounced back and touched here then fell down, in fact, this was mentioned the day before, the high point at the weekend will often become the starting area and fall in the early part of the following week. If there are no stimulating news, then this rule is basically reliable.

I tried a sell order on Friday night around the 96600 level, and took profit when the price bounced back from 94000 to 95000 yesterday morning. After that, the price climbed back to about 96300-96600, I tried a short sell again, and also withdrew in the evening. Now, this market is telling you, do you want to break 97000 by the weekend? It's really difficult.
The first resistance point is still 96800-97250. At 97250, there is a 12-hour EMA7 moving average; the price just needs to touch this position to easily reverse.
Next Monday, the US government will end the shutdown, which is a volatility factor. Regarding risk management, just pay attention to this. My plan is to prepare two options:
**Solution A: How to inject from the top?**
96800, 97450, 97850 these resistance levels can be considered to add short positions in parts, just enter lightly. I do not touch the initial bottom position 96300-96600, flexibly respond. If it really goes up, just one candle wick appears, adding short positions at the current price is still timely.
**Solution B: Straight down then?**
Then it's simple. When 94000 is broken, add to the position and pursue short selling, just carry it out.
Consider that there may be fluctuations, manage risk by setting two limit sell orders: reduce partially at 98500, and again reduce at 100000 ( this is the most stable ), maintaining an average cost advantage. The overall trend is still down, but to avoid being hurt by short-term price increases, try to set the stop-loss at a high level. If cut losses only within a range of 1-2k, then the loss is too large. Therefore, those with small capital, consider carefully on Monday night before making a decision.
**About buying low:**
There is a Fibonacci level near 94250, the low buy position there can only be done once, if it’s gone, don’t chase after it. There is no significant support between 94000-90000, 93300 and 92000 cannot hold for long, only short buys can be made, the profit and risk ratio is not large, the buy orders cannot be held for long. Therefore, it is not recommended to place buy orders above 90000, wait below 88800 and then consider.
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