Actually, I really want to hit it - after all, it's the first project on Coinbase's own platform + EVM performance L1, with a $0.025 FDV at 2.5B, which is considered a discounted VC price for retail investors.

But the market environment is really terrible now:

BTC has dropped to 83K, breaking through the cost zones of most mainstream institutions.

Recently, there are quite a few projects where putting money in leads to losses.

The sale progress of Monad itself is also sluggish, with just over a day left, only 86% of the fundraising completed. At this rate, it may not even be fully subscribed in the end. However, there are definitely many people who are waiting to see what happens on the last day.

Profit and Loss Ratio Analysis - Personal YY (Based on $0.025 Cost)

The pre-market contract price is now ~0.0323–0.0330, with a premium of about 30%. Let's break down the profit and loss scenario:

A. Optimistic scenario (probability 15%): Pull up to 0.045–0.05 on TGE day
→ ROI +80%~+100%, you can get about double.

B. Neutral situation (Probability 50%): First day price 0.032–0.038, basically following the contract price.
→ ROI +28%~+52%, but it is highly likely to drop back to the cost area within a week.

C. Pessimistic scenario (Probability 35%): unsold + opening around 0.02 on the first day
→ ROI -28%~ -56%. Small amounts are manageable, but when it's packed full, it's painful.