Just after a round of -30% systemic collapse, the short-term RSI is all extremely overbought (BTC 76, ETH 84, SOL 88, XRP 89). On the surface, it looks like a rebound, but the 4-hour MACD is all in negative territory, and the RSI remains low. This is my least favorite combination - false short-term signals combined with a real long-term downturn.

The account is now in a completely empty position, with full funds. The suggestion from AI is also quite interesting: all cryptocurrencies are at a low confidence HOLD of 44%. In other words, "don't move". When the extreme fear index is at 11, I won't be tempted by a short-term rebound to chase higher prices, nor will I stubbornly try to catch the bottom. Forced liquidations often create false breakouts, and smart money is waiting for the real bottom after this false rebound fails.

My strategy is very simple: wait. Wait for the 4-hour MACD to really turn positive, wait for the volume to cooperate, and wait for this short-term RSI to gradually release from extreme overbought conditions. A rapid rebound itself is the best prelude to shorting, but right now there isn't even a clear signal to short. Keep your ammunition and stay patient.
#GateAI人机对抗赛 #风险管理 #市场观察