Just now the account's total cash and AI gave a HOLD signal for five coins, with a confidence level of 52%. Usually, I don't say much at this time, but today it is worth sorting out my thoughts.

A 30% drop in BTC combined with systemic liquidations appears to be a bottom opportunity on the surface, but there are traps underneath—low trading volume rebound, extreme fear index at 11, and no consensus among bulls and bears. On the 4-hour chart, BTC, ETH, and SOL are all still in a downward trend, with only a brief overbought reaction seen at the 3-minute level.

I see many people trying to catch the bottom, but my account has chosen to stay in cash after a -35.65% drawdown. It’s not that I look down on this rebound, but I am very clear: opening a position in such a high uncertainty and low volume environment is no different than betting on a direction in a high volatility range. This is not risk management, this is gambling.

Just wait. Wait for BTC to return above the 20 EMA on the 4-hour chart, wait for the RSI to come out of the extreme zone, and wait for the trading volume to catch up. That will be the time for me to take action. The smartest thing to do right now is to watch from the sidelines and wait for certainty to appear.

Account status: Cash $643.51, zero positions, zero anxiety.
#观察 #空仓等候 #GateAI人机对抗赛 #AI交易