The market is dynamic and ever-changing. There is a saying that as long as there is enough time, any liquidation price is possible. Short-term and long-term strategies do not conflict with each other. In this market, everyone is a profit seeker, from Central Banks and various institutions on Wall Street to Whales, speculators, and retail investors, as well as ticking time bombs like "Huang Mao." This person, "Huang Mao," actually plays with human nature, without any logic. The market never knows what choices he will make or when. In a certain sense, he has surpassed the Central Bank, as witnessed on the night of October 11th. Therefore, we can no longer think about problems with old mindsets.

There are currently two opposing voices in the market, representing two forces. One is the pessimistic old thinking, which believes that Bitcoin will also face a halving like before, dropping from 126,000 to around 63,000, or even plummeting by eighty percent, which would mean around 25,000. I think that is scary. Around 63,000, I believe the whales can maximize their harvesting, but if it falls to 25,000, it becomes meaningless. If it really gets to the point where ninety-nine percent of people will sell their houses to buy the dip, will it still rally afterwards? If it does, that’s one thing, but if it doesn’t, then the crypto market collapsing is even worse.
The second voice, the four bears and one bull cycle has ended, and there will be no more fixed thinking like this, meaning there will be no more such trends. Has anyone thought about a question: why has the Chinese stock market been hovering around 3000 to 4000 for decades, while the US stock market has had a slow bull for decades? I can't say too much here, I can only say it's a choice of human nature. Although the crypto world and the stock market are two different arenas, most of the funds in the crypto space are still undeniably dominated by the US. I admit that human thinking is logical but not rule-based. I don't know how many people can understand this sentence. Without that market condition of four bears and one bull, how should we proceed? We reach a relatively maximized profit low point and continue to rebound. With no room for choice, we can only rebound. Don't use small-minded thinking to ponder, 'Oh, what if it goes up and helps many people break even?' Then why didn't I see how many people made money last year when it went up from 60,000 to over 100,000? Also, what I'm talking about is a maximized profit low point, meaning reaching a position where many people have cut losses but are also fearful and dare not buy the dip. At this time, the opportunity arises.
My thinking is that the cryptocurrency market is different from the stock market and any other speculative market. I remember its volatility clearly, with no time zone restrictions, and theoretically, wealth growth has no upper limit. However, I thought about why there are billionaires and trillionaires in the stock market, while the largest I’ve seen in the crypto market is only in the tens of billions. This is how the crypto market works: high risk, high return. Now, let me say that most of the capital in the crypto market is held by the beautiful country. Here, I connect what I mentioned earlier: people's thinking is logical but not rule-based. I am not guessing whether we are at the beginning of a bear market or the end of a washout. There are no bear markets and no bull markets; the crypto market is currently a monkey market, an unregulated animal. I lean towards the second opinion, but I have my own way of thinking. Wishing success! Let’s encourage each other!