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CryptoTherapist

2025-11-29 11:41:43

#数字货币市场回升 Did you notice? The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates in December has now soared to over 84%.

This expectation is actually quite critical. The recent rebound of Bitcoin is, to put it simply, the market pricing in the loosening of policies in advance. The logic is very simple – once the monetary policy loosens, liquidity increases, and funds will naturally flow into risk assets like Bitcoin.

$COAI The recent trends of these targets show that this expectation is fermenting.

COAI-11.36%

BTC-6.99%

MBL6.56%

ETH-9.36%

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BackrowObserver

· 11-30 14:15

84% probability? This number seems a bit suspicious, feels like the market is getting a little too excited again. --- The expectation of interest rate cuts has already been overly speculated, now the question is whether it can really materialize. --- I'm a bit worried, when liquidity comes in, the coin price rises, this logic sounds nice but is too fragile. --- $ETH's recent performance is indeed interesting, but I still think we need to look at the actual data in December. --- From the perspective of bystanders, this rebound feels like an expectation overdrawn, when the policy really comes out, it might not be as optimistic as imagined.

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DegenDreamer

· 11-29 12:11

The expectation for interest rate cuts is so high, we have to take a gamble.

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RunWithRugs

· 11-29 12:04

With a 84% probability being so high, it's no wonder that coins have been rising recently.

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BlockchainBouncer

· 11-29 12:04

84% probability? That's a really high probability, it feels like everyone is betting on the Fed easing up. Once the interest rate cut expectations come out, the funds start to get restless, and Bitcoin's rise has indeed benefited from it. MBL has been following suit quite aggressively lately, so I need to keep an eye on it to avoid catching a falling knife at high positions. Liquidity coming in is definitely a good thing, it just depends on whether the policies can really be implemented. To be honest, playing this expectation game for too long does carry considerable risks.

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wrekt_but_learning

· 11-29 11:59

84% This probability is a bit outrageous, it feels like the market is getting a little too excited again.

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SchrodingersPaper

· 11-29 11:56

Huh? 84%? I just want to know what the remaining 16% of people are thinking. Oh my, another wave of easing expectations, I don't know if my Wallet is crying or laughing. I've already gone All in on MBL, just waiting for this wave to da moon, hoping it's not just an illusion again. Pricing, Liquidity, risk assets... why make it so complicated? Simply put, it's just betting on the Fed, if I bet right, I'm a genius, if I bet wrong, I'll blame the Fed. Can ETH stop messing with me? Every time it says it's going to rise, it turns out to be a scam.

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Liquidated_Larry

· 11-29 11:53

84% chance of interest rate cut? It's time to buy the dip, brother, a liquidity flood is coming.

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