2025-11-30 20:25:55

Wait, so they're literally announcing US expansion and the market's sitting there at 85% confidence? That's wild.

Polymarket already confirmed they're launching stateside soon. You'd think this kind of move would push certainty way higher, but here we are. Either people are skeptical about execution, or there's some regulatory paranoia baked in.

Either way, the gap between announcement and market conviction says a lot about where we're at right now.

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MelonField

· 12-03 19:56

Nah, honestly, this 15% margin for doubt is a bit ridiculous... It's the US expanding, and you still don't dare to go all in?

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DuckFluff

· 12-03 10:52

Nah, this gap is just ridiculous. The US expansion has already been officially announced, and it's still only at 85%? That regulatory sword is still hanging overhead.

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SelfSovereignSteve

· 11-30 20:56

Dude, are you afraid to go up 85%? As soon as the U.S. opens up, it's To da moon. --- Regulating this stuff is really poison; no matter how good the expansion is, it has to be discounted. --- To be honest, the market's reaction is indeed pathological; announcing the U.S. launch and still being timid. --- Is the execution risk that high, or are they just being cowardly? --- That's about enough; the red flag from the U.S. means too much. --- 85 is the truth, the rest is just gambling on luck.

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UncleWhale

· 11-30 20:50

ngl this gap is really ironic, Favourable Information has been directly released but confidence is still lacking. Either everyone is waiting for the shoe to drop, or there are still lingering concerns about the regulatory shadow from the U.S.

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OnChain_Detective

· 11-30 20:50

85% feels oddly high honestly... let me pull some wallet clustering data rn, pattern analysis suggests institutional players might be hedging something we're not seeing yet

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FrogInTheWell

· 11-30 20:46

Calling it expansion at 85%? The regulatory hurdle hasn't been cleared yet, I don't believe it.

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