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What does December mean for the traditional Capital Market? Take a look at the performance of the S&P 500: since 1928, the probability of an increase this month is as high as 73.2%—there have only been 26 failures in 97 years. Average increase? A baseline of 1.28%, and after World War II, it was directly raised to 1.50%.



Will this seasonal pattern transmit to the crypto market? Can the end of #美SEC推动加密创新监管 replicate the stock market's "Christmas Rally"? Historical data is here, now it depends on how the funds are betting.
BTC-6.6%
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LuckyBearDrawervip
· 13h ago
A 73.2% probability sounds quite tempting, but when has the crypto world ever cared about probabilities? Anyway, every December I'm waiting for that "Christmas market", and what do I get...
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DogeBachelorvip
· 13h ago
A probability of 73.2% sounds quite impressive, but when has the crypto market ever paid attention to probabilities? BTC has been a genius going against the trend this year.
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DevChivevip
· 13h ago
A 73% probability sounds good, but when December comes, it still depends on the wind direction. Can BTC keep up? That's another story.
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TokenAlchemistvip
· 13h ago
ngl the s&p's december seasonality is kinda overblown when you map it onto crypto's inefficiency vectors... like sure 73.2% hit rate sounds clean, but that's legacy market microstructure. btc doesn't care about your boomer calendar patterns fr
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FlashLoanPrincevip
· 14h ago
A win rate of 73.2% sounds good, but these days data speaks for itself, and trends seem to tell different stories... Whether BTC can be saved in December depends on what institutions think.
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