What does December mean for the traditional Capital Market? Take a look at the performance of the S&P 500: since 1928, the probability of an increase this month is as high as 73.2%—there have only been 26 failures in 97 years. Average increase? A baseline of 1.28%, and after World War II, it was directly raised to 1.50%.
Will this seasonal pattern transmit to the crypto market? Can the end of #美SEC推动加密创新监管 replicate the stock market's "Christmas Rally"? Historical data is here, now it depends on how the funds are betting.
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LuckyBearDrawer
· 13h ago
A 73.2% probability sounds quite tempting, but when has the crypto world ever cared about probabilities? Anyway, every December I'm waiting for that "Christmas market", and what do I get...
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DogeBachelor
· 13h ago
A probability of 73.2% sounds quite impressive, but when has the crypto market ever paid attention to probabilities? BTC has been a genius going against the trend this year.
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DevChive
· 13h ago
A 73% probability sounds good, but when December comes, it still depends on the wind direction. Can BTC keep up? That's another story.
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TokenAlchemist
· 13h ago
ngl the s&p's december seasonality is kinda overblown when you map it onto crypto's inefficiency vectors... like sure 73.2% hit rate sounds clean, but that's legacy market microstructure. btc doesn't care about your boomer calendar patterns fr
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FlashLoanPrince
· 14h ago
A win rate of 73.2% sounds good, but these days data speaks for itself, and trends seem to tell different stories... Whether BTC can be saved in December depends on what institutions think.
What does December mean for the traditional Capital Market? Take a look at the performance of the S&P 500: since 1928, the probability of an increase this month is as high as 73.2%—there have only been 26 failures in 97 years. Average increase? A baseline of 1.28%, and after World War II, it was directly raised to 1.50%.
Will this seasonal pattern transmit to the crypto market? Can the end of #美SEC推动加密创新监管 replicate the stock market's "Christmas Rally"? Historical data is here, now it depends on how the funds are betting.