#ETH巨鲸增持 Ethereum early market analysis: Pressure appears around 2990.
Currently, $ETH is in a bit of an awkward position at 2990. Looking at the 4-hour chart, the price has dropped below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, and the MACD has just formed a death cross—these two signals combined indicate that the short-term bullish momentum is weakening.
The middle track has not been held, this is the first alert. Currently testing the support level towards the lower track. The Bollinger Bands show signs of narrowing, the momentum of a one-sided rise has temporarily come to a halt, and it is very likely that we are entering a high-level consolidation phase.
The most noticeable change in the MACD is that the DIF line has crossed below the DEA line, and the histogram has turned green. This death cross pattern indicates that the upward momentum at the four-hour level has basically been exhausted, and the bears are starting to take control, which may lead to a pullback.
Trading Idea Reference:
Consider placing short positions in the range of 3010 to 3040, with target levels at 2970-2920. It is recommended to set the stop loss above 3040 to allow some margin for error.
If the price really falls back to around 2970, there may be support there, at which point you can try to buy low, aiming for a rebound towards 3000-3020, with a stop loss set below 2950.
In summary, the current technical outlook is weak, and the main strategy is to short on rallies while waiting for entry opportunities at the support level below.
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LuckyBlindCat
· 14h ago
The Bollinger death cross combination... I've been tired of seeing it for a long time. The key is still to see how the Whale moves. We have to hold 2970.
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PaperHandSister
· 14h ago
I've seen the Bollinger Bands narrow too many times, buddy. Most of the time, the next move is a one-sided surge, and you can't tell where it's headed, which is a bit unsettling.
A death cross is a death cross, but I think this wave might just be a Whipsaw, don't get scared; the Whale is still accumulating.
The 2990 level is really stuck here; it feels like it could either get dumped directly or a Bullish line could come in, anyway, it can't stay flat.
To put it nicely, it's a consolidation; to put it harshly, there’s no direction, and it's easy to lose money in times like this.
I don't really believe in the shorting strategy at highs; it feels like the bottom hasn't been reached yet, and continuing to short isn't far from getting taken the opposite position.
I've passed on short order setups; I'll wait and see, as it feels like there are signals for sell with bearish market.
It is indeed uncomfortable not holding the middle band, but if the 2920 support breaks, then that would be really problematic.
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ColdWalletAnxiety
· 14h ago
The position at 2990 really feels a bit stretched, losing the middle band of Bollinger Bands is troublesome, and once the MACD death cross appears, it feels like the long positions are about to be over.
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DAOplomacy
· 14h ago
tbh the whole "whales accumulating" narrative feels kinda sus when we're looking at these technical deteriorations... macd death crosses on 4h are arguably just noise in the grand scheme of path dependency, ngl
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CryptoPunster
· 14h ago
The middle band of the Bollinger Bands hasn't been held, this time it really needs to consolidate, short positions are starting to show their power.
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Token_Sherpa
· 14h ago
bruh, the whale accumulation narrative doesn't match the technicals here... dead cross + squeezed bollinger? that's literally textbook distribution, not accumulation lol. people really need to learn the difference between on-chain activity and actual price action momentum.
#ETH巨鲸增持 Ethereum early market analysis: Pressure appears around 2990.
Currently, $ETH is in a bit of an awkward position at 2990. Looking at the 4-hour chart, the price has dropped below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, and the MACD has just formed a death cross—these two signals combined indicate that the short-term bullish momentum is weakening.
The middle track has not been held, this is the first alert. Currently testing the support level towards the lower track. The Bollinger Bands show signs of narrowing, the momentum of a one-sided rise has temporarily come to a halt, and it is very likely that we are entering a high-level consolidation phase.
The most noticeable change in the MACD is that the DIF line has crossed below the DEA line, and the histogram has turned green. This death cross pattern indicates that the upward momentum at the four-hour level has basically been exhausted, and the bears are starting to take control, which may lead to a pullback.
Trading Idea Reference:
Consider placing short positions in the range of 3010 to 3040, with target levels at 2970-2920. It is recommended to set the stop loss above 3040 to allow some margin for error.
If the price really falls back to around 2970, there may be support there, at which point you can try to buy low, aiming for a rebound towards 3000-3020, with a stop loss set below 2950.
In summary, the current technical outlook is weak, and the main strategy is to short on rallies while waiting for entry opportunities at the support level below.