#数字货币市场回升 This morning at 8 o'clock, Bitcoin has dropped directly from 93,000 dollars to 88,000. In less than an hour, over 200,000 people got liquidated.
In the circle of friends, there is a wail of despair, but to be honest, I am a bit excited.
This rapid sell-off is often more interesting than a slow and steady decline — panic comes quickly and goes just as fast, which makes it easier to create a buying opportunity.
I reviewed the triggers for this wave of sharp decline and can roughly identify a few clues:
The Federal Reserve has recently made frequent hawkish statements, and the expectations for interest rate cuts have basically cooled down. With the strength of the US dollar, Bitcoin, as a high-volatility asset, naturally cannot withstand it. The flow of ETF funds also illustrates the issue clearly—there has been a net outflow for seven consecutive weeks, and institutions are obviously reducing their positions and taking a wait-and-see approach. Without the support of large funds, the market is like a spinning top that has lost its center.
The regulatory environment remains ambiguous. In the United States, the progress of cryptocurrency legislation is slow, while domestically, there is a reaffirmation of the prohibition on virtual currency trading. With the fog of policy still lingering, big money is hesitant to enter the market easily.
More crucially, on-chain data shows that long-term holders sold a total of 800,000 BTC in the past month. Even these "diamond hands" have started to loosen, and it's easy to imagine the panic among retail investors. Additionally, with leverage players crowded in the market, a price drop triggers a chain reaction of Get Liquidated events, and this morning's "longs killing longs" was essentially a stampede.
But I always believe: every sudden drop is a signal for phased layout.
Do you remember that time in March this year? $BTC dropped from 72,000 to 60,000, and those who dared to buy around 61,000 later enjoyed a nice rebound.
My current operating strategy is very simple: keep 50% cash on the sidelines, don't rush to go all in; closely monitor Bitcoin, consider gradually building positions below 85,000; firmly avoid high leverage – surviving is much more important than making quick money.
The market always brews in despair. If you are always led by market emotions, you are destined to become a target for being harvested. The market does not believe in blind optimism, only rewarding those who can understand the signals and remain calm.
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CommunityWorker
· 16h ago
Even the diamond hands have run away, this wave is really a bit scary... But I agree with your logic, buying low is much better than chasing high.
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Over 200,000 people got liquidated, that multiple leverage is indeed a pit, we still have to stay alive.
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Wait, you say to enter at 85,000? It feels like it can still fall, I’ll observe for a while longer.
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Every time I say to layout in batches, it’s just the urge to go all in, then I get played for a sucker... Reflecting on it.
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The Fed is so hawkish, it feels like there will be trouble ahead, not rushing to enter is correct.
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Even institutions are running away, if we retail investors follow suit, it’s just the fate of being harvested.
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800,000 BTC dumped... this data is a bit shocking, even long-term holders are shaken.
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That wave in March was indeed pleasant, but the situation is different now, it’s better to be cautious.
View OriginalReply0
ReverseFOMOguy
· 16h ago
It's the same old story again, are you excited that 200,000 people got liquidated? That's incredible, haha
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Can 85,000 really hold? Or is it just another round of a bull trap?
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What does it mean that even the diamond hands have run away? What do the wise Satoshis think?
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I just want to ask, if this wave rebounds to 95,000, will your 50% cash still be enough?
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Retail investors who went all in are too miserable, they got directly swept out of the market.
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Building a position in batches sounds good, but the question is who can really stick it out?
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"The market only rewards the calm," but haven't the calm ones already run away?
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Seeing you write with such passion, do you want to put some real money in to verify it?
View OriginalReply0
QuietlyStaking
· 16h ago
Here comes the Be Played for Suckers again, this time it's the Fed's trick.
Can 85,000 really buy the dip? I think it's doubtful.
Even diamond hands are running, what does that indicate?
Watching this wave of liquidation makes me laugh, leveraged players deserve it.
I also bought in during the wave in March, but this time feels different.
Having 50% cash sounds safe, but when the crucial moment comes, there will still be fear of missing out (FOMO).
I agree on not touching leverage; staying alive is the most important.
View OriginalReply0
ForumLurker
· 16h ago
Oh, this wave of fall is really filtering out the true players, the leveraged ones get liquidated in a second, haha, they deserve it.
Wait, 800,000 BTC dumping? Diamond hands are all running, should we be worried?
Do we really need to enter a position below 85,000? I'm still struggling with this.
I see you wrote this quite calmly, but I still think it's a bit too optimistic, is it true?
I respect the strategy of keeping 50% cash, it's definitely smarter than those who go all in.
#数字货币市场回升 This morning at 8 o'clock, Bitcoin has dropped directly from 93,000 dollars to 88,000. In less than an hour, over 200,000 people got liquidated.
In the circle of friends, there is a wail of despair, but to be honest, I am a bit excited.
This rapid sell-off is often more interesting than a slow and steady decline — panic comes quickly and goes just as fast, which makes it easier to create a buying opportunity.
I reviewed the triggers for this wave of sharp decline and can roughly identify a few clues:
The Federal Reserve has recently made frequent hawkish statements, and the expectations for interest rate cuts have basically cooled down. With the strength of the US dollar, Bitcoin, as a high-volatility asset, naturally cannot withstand it. The flow of ETF funds also illustrates the issue clearly—there has been a net outflow for seven consecutive weeks, and institutions are obviously reducing their positions and taking a wait-and-see approach. Without the support of large funds, the market is like a spinning top that has lost its center.
The regulatory environment remains ambiguous. In the United States, the progress of cryptocurrency legislation is slow, while domestically, there is a reaffirmation of the prohibition on virtual currency trading. With the fog of policy still lingering, big money is hesitant to enter the market easily.
More crucially, on-chain data shows that long-term holders sold a total of 800,000 BTC in the past month. Even these "diamond hands" have started to loosen, and it's easy to imagine the panic among retail investors. Additionally, with leverage players crowded in the market, a price drop triggers a chain reaction of Get Liquidated events, and this morning's "longs killing longs" was essentially a stampede.
But I always believe: every sudden drop is a signal for phased layout.
Do you remember that time in March this year? $BTC dropped from 72,000 to 60,000, and those who dared to buy around 61,000 later enjoyed a nice rebound.
My current operating strategy is very simple: keep 50% cash on the sidelines, don't rush to go all in; closely monitor Bitcoin, consider gradually building positions below 85,000; firmly avoid high leverage – surviving is much more important than making quick money.
The market always brews in despair. If you are always led by market emotions, you are destined to become a target for being harvested. The market does not believe in blind optimism, only rewarding those who can understand the signals and remain calm.