Fren with ETH holdings should have made money on the long order yesterday, right? This wave of pullback starting at seven this morning really stems from the Fed — Powell is going to resign.
If it were in the past, this news might have caused a surge in the crypto market. After all, everyone has experienced Powell's early hawkish stance, and it was only before his departure that he started to ease up and turn dovish. But now it's different; the market is focused on the next one.
Trump has basically made it clear on his side, with various news pointing to Kevin Hassett as the successor. Hassett's style is completely different from Powell's - he is a standard dove advocating for significant interest rate cuts. This is actually paving the way for next year's policies.
There are now two things on the table: when will the interest rate cut expectations be fulfilled? When will the new chairman officially take office? These two points basically determine whether the crypto market will continue this bull market or turn to a correction period.
In simple terms, the macro narrative has changed, and the on-chain strategies need to be adjusted accordingly.
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0xDreamChaser
· 3h ago
What is this wave of fluctuations before the interest rate cut expectations from Hassett are realized? Just wait and see.
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BridgeNomad
· 8h ago
ngl, watching the macro narrative shift here gives me serious bridging mechanics flashbacks — every routing decision depends on which fed chair actually shows up at the table, and we all know how trust assumptions collapse when the liquidity dries up mid-transaction
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airdrop_whisperer
· 8h ago
The thing about Hassett coming in to cut interest rates... will it really happen as the market thinks? I'm a bit unsure.
Those who made money yesterday can't even smile now; today's drop must feel terrible.
The macro narrative has changed so quickly that I'm having a hard time keeping up.
Interest rate cut expectations vs actual realization, how many black swans are there in between?
Instead of waiting for the new chairman, it's better to look at the CPI data in January next year.
A dovish approach coming into power doesn't mean immediate interest rate cuts; I'm still a bit skeptical about this logic.
Those who are all in are betting on a policy shift, and the risks are still quite high.
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RebaseVictim
· 8h ago
Only now do I realize that Powell is about to leave; I truly didn't see the situation clearly.
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NftRegretMachine
· 8h ago
With such strong expectations for Hasset to lower interest rates, it feels like we should wait and see, don’t rush to all in.
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GasFeeSobber
· 9h ago
Yesterday, I indeed made money, but this pullback is really scary, we have to continue to see how Haset will manage after taking office.
Speaking of Powell stepping down, the crypto world reacts really fast, much faster than the traditional market.
This pullback is not a bad thing, it's just right to sort out the holdings strategy.
The dovish succession is indeed favourable information, but it feels like the market has already digested it pretty well, and it's a bit boring.
The holdings haven't changed, let's wait and see the new chairman's first speech, that's the key.
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这小子在送钱
· 9h ago
It shouldn't be this influence. Powell has always been part of the camp opposing interest rate cuts. His resignation is likely to cause a rise, especially since there will be a vote in December on whether to cut interest rates, which is influenced by China's policies in the Asian market.
Fren with ETH holdings should have made money on the long order yesterday, right? This wave of pullback starting at seven this morning really stems from the Fed — Powell is going to resign.
If it were in the past, this news might have caused a surge in the crypto market. After all, everyone has experienced Powell's early hawkish stance, and it was only before his departure that he started to ease up and turn dovish. But now it's different; the market is focused on the next one.
Trump has basically made it clear on his side, with various news pointing to Kevin Hassett as the successor. Hassett's style is completely different from Powell's - he is a standard dove advocating for significant interest rate cuts. This is actually paving the way for next year's policies.
There are now two things on the table: when will the interest rate cut expectations be fulfilled? When will the new chairman officially take office? These two points basically determine whether the crypto market will continue this bull market or turn to a correction period.
In simple terms, the macro narrative has changed, and the on-chain strategies need to be adjusted accordingly.