#ETH走势分析 Are there still analysts who dare to predict 150,000 or 200,000 by the end of the year? Just do the math, and you'll know it's unrealistic. For $BTC to rise to 200,000, the average daily increase must maintain 6%—even during the crazy bull market of 2021, it couldn't sustain such a pace, let alone the current market confidence and liquidity have already dropped to a yearly low.

Every time the bull-bear switch happens, it's the same old script: these institutions shout high targets with their eyes closed, retail investors miss the top exit window, and after being trapped, they still self-hypnotize saying, "this is just a medium-term correction." By the time they realize the bear market has come after falling below 80,000 or 70,000, the market cap has already halved when they want to cut losses. In the last cycle's end, some people were shouting for 100,000 and 150,000, but what was the result?

Remember an iron rule: the higher the institutions shout, the faster they run away. They may have already cleared their positions when they issue reports. $ETH and $BNB share the same logic - don't be trapped by painted cakes; the market won't change direction because of anyone's prediction. Understanding the flow of chips is more reliable than listening to stories.