#数字资产市场观察 has been in the Crypto Assets industry for eight years, with an account growing from five thousand to twenty-five million. The pitfalls encountered during this time could fill a book of blood and tears—like going all in on meme tokens, holding through the LUNA crash without fleeing, and seeing tens of thousands shrink to just a few hundred at the worst.

Looking back now, the reason I have made it to today is solely due to one realization: don't consider yourself the chosen one.

Let's talk about some practical experience.

**You need to be clear about money matters**. A deposit of 100k? Move at most 20k. Monthly income of 8k? Don't exceed 800 in regular investments. This is the bottom line. I usually divide my positions into three parts: 30% in mainstream coins to hold, 50% for swing trading to take profits, and 20% to buy the dip—add once when it drops by 15%, again at 30%, and go all in at 50%. Never go all in at once, that’s just giving the market a warm welcome.

Stop-loss must be ruthless. If it breaks the 5-day moving average in the short term? Run. If it falls below the 20-day in the medium term? Liquidate. Hesitate for a second and lose three thousand.

**Going with the trend, it must be acknowledged no matter what.** Buying the dip during a decline? Nine out of ten times it’s a pitfall. It’s better to wait for clear signals of an uptrend before entering the market, even if it means earning less than getting stuck. Trading volume is a mirror that reveals the truth—only a breakout with increased volume at low levels is a real breakout, while a price surge without volume is mostly a trap to lure in investors.

I only focus on three technical indicators: 15-minute candlestick for entry and exit points, daily MACD for direction, and weekly Bollinger Bands for support levels. The resonance of these three signals + volume confirmation can achieve a success rate of up to 70%.

There are three iron rules for short-term trading to protect your capital: only trade popular coins with trading volume, take profits at 15%, and cut losses at 5%. When monitoring the market, look at the 1-3 minute charts, go long when the average price line moves up, go short when it moves down, and do not act when it is flat.

On the tools side - TradingView for line analysis, Jin10 data for tracking policy trends, Glassnode for monitoring whale movements, and TokenSniffer for screening meme tokens projects. Check it every day without fail.

The last heartfelt words: There is no surefire way in this industry. My survival relies on discipline, not luck. Staying alive is always more important than getting rich quickly; if your understanding is not in place, no matter how much capital you have, it is just chips on the gambling table.