Since the Golden Week in October last year, I have been tracking the monetary policy trends of the Central Bank of Japan.

Why pay attention to this? You see, this round of Bitcoin halving is in April, and the last round was also in April. If the patterns of the big cycles still hold, then from October to December is roughly the end of the bull market turning into the early stages of a bear market. And the key signal that can likely drag BTC into the next bear market is Japan's third interest rate hike.

It has been nearly 10 months since they last cut interest rates, so it makes perfect sense to raise rates again in December or January next year—this timing is just right and could perfectly conclude the current bull market.

Everything has its own operating logic, right? These seemingly independent events are actually interconnected and together form the rhythm of the market.

My plan is: to wait for two to three months after Japan's interest rate hike is implemented, and then start gradually buying the dip in spot. The bulk of my funds will be reserved for the most certain opportunities.

Take DOGE for example, I won't touch it at all unless it falls to the range of 0.085-0.046. The current price range of 0.15-0.10? Too expensive. Even if we reach the next bull market, the return would only be 3 to 4 times, and this little space is not worth getting in early.