You might think it's ridiculous, but two years ago, someone really wrote down the date when this round of Bitcoin would peak - October 6, 2025.

The first time I saw this statement was at the end of 2023, where someone casually threw out a simple and crude algorithm in a post: a bull market lasts 1064 days, and a bear market takes a break for 364 days, repeating endlessly. Following this logic, the peak is locked in on October 6 of last year.

So what happened? Bitcoin really touched the ceiling of $126,000 that day, and then it turned around and plummeted.

Later I found out that more than one person had circled this date more than half a year in advance. It wasn't any sophisticated model, just stubbornly analyzing historical cycle data, but it was accurate enough to give people goosebumps.

I have been in this circle for many years. To be honest, when I first calculated this result, I thought it was just metaphysics. But if you look at the past candlestick charts, although the days of bull and bear alternation may not be exact, the error is at most three to five days—doesn't it look like a clock wound up by someone?

Especially now that Bitcoin has become a trillion-dollar giant, it's clear that no single big player can control its rhythmic rises and falls. I believe it's the halving mechanism that is at play, acting like an invisible conductor that subtly influences market sentiment and the flow of funds. Just like farming requires attention to seasonal changes, playing with coins also requires learning to observe the "coin calendar."

So after the peak on October 6th, I kept saying in the group: the cycle has reached its end, it's time to get off. Within a few days, the market started to plummet, leaving many people stunned. But if you understand this pattern, you will remain calm—because bear markets are part of the script, just like it always gets bright again after it gets dark.

Someone asked me what to do next? I said, just wait. After enduring 1064 days of crazy rises, we will have to endure 364 days of a cold winter, and the next starting point will naturally come knocking on the door.

This is not fortune-telling, it's a math problem; it doesn't have to be treated as a belief, but the principle has to be respected. The larger the market, the easier it is to see the way.

In short, a simple and straightforward summary:
Bull market cycle: approximately 1064 days
Bear market cycle: approximately 364 days

You don't have to stare at the market until you're blind; as long as you know how to turn the calendar, you might be able to outperform a large number of people.

Of course, these are just my personal observations and do not constitute any investment advice. The market will always have black swans, but cycles never miss their appointments.