#美联储恢复降息进程 Many fren have privately messaged me asking: Is there a trading method that is not complicated and can be used by ordinary people?

Yes. And it's really not difficult, just 4 steps. Beginners can follow this framework to avoid at least half of the pitfalls.

**Step 1: Only recognize one signal - Daily MACD golden cross**
All other indicators are off. Just focus on this one.
If a golden cross appears above the 0 axis, the success rate will be significantly higher. Don't be greedy; one signal is enough.

**Step 2: A moving average determines life and death**
On the daily chart level, observe the relationship between price and moving averages.
Stand up = hold on; fall down = out.
Don't guess, don't gamble, don't get entangled. Follow the path as it goes.

**Step 3: How to Allocate Positions**
Break through the moving average + the trading volume has increased? Go all in.
Sell in three installments:
· Up 40%, sell 1/3
· Up 80%, then sell 1/3
· Break below the moving average, clear the rest
By doing this, you are already calmer than most people in the market.

**Step 4: Do not hesitate on stop-loss**
If there is a direct gap down breaking the moving average the next day, don't ask why, just get out first.
Your buying logic is based on moving average support; if the logic is gone, don't hold on stubbornly.
Wait for it to stand back up, and it's not too late to bring it back. This is discipline, not cowardice.

This set of things has no metaphysical component and does not require you to monitor the market 24 hours a day.
By following the three iron rules of daily lines, moving averages, and position size, the winning rate will naturally stabilize.

In recent years, I have come to realize more and more a principle: **the simpler the method, the less likely it is to make mistakes.**