Honestly? This whole thing is moving way faster than anyone expected.
Here's the reality check on how dApp ecosystems actually scale: You need roughly 20 apps just to find one decent one. Then you need 20 of those decent apps before one actually generates real revenue. Do the math—that's basically a 1:400 ratio.
But wait, there's more. Once you've got 20 revenue-generating apps, maybe—just maybe—one of them breaks out and becomes something significant.
The funnel is brutal, but that's how innovation works. Most projects fade. Some survive. A rare few actually thrive.
And judging by what's happening right now? We're hitting those milestones faster than the traditional playbook suggested. The pace is wild.
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SneakyFlashloan
· 1h ago
A 1:400 ratio sounds insane, but that's exactly the reality of Web3.
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Sure, the speed is fast, but only a few will survive. Don't celebrate too early.
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You're absolutely right, the survival rate is just that low. Most projects are destined to become history.
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It's intense competition—out of 20 apps, you can barely find 1 that can actually make money. This competition is just too brutal.
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No wonder new projects keep failing. With such a harsh funnel effect, no one can handle it.
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Fast speed is one thing, but what about quality? Honestly, most of them are still just vaporware.
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That's why finding a truly usable dapp is harder than reaching the sky. I believe it now.
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HashBrownies
· 12-01 20:22
A 1:400 elimination rate... This number is a bit extreme, but it indeed hits the pain point.
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SellTheBounce
· 12-01 20:22
The ratio is 1:400, just listen to it. To put it bluntly, it just means that the suckers are being played for suckers a bit faster, what can really change?
In the end, it's still the dumb buyers who fill the holes, the rebound should be coming out.
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DegenMcsleepless
· 12-01 20:18
The probability of 1 in 400... sounds like playing the lottery, but that's really how it's done.
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Wow, this speed is indeed outrageous, way faster than expected.
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Choosing 1 usable app from 20, and then picking 1 that can make money from the 20 usable ones... math doesn't lie, it's just a meat grinder.
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Honestly, I’m struggling to cope with this elimination rate.
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Speed is fast, but I'm just afraid it’s another bubble that inflates quickly.
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So should I go all in and take a chance now, or should I observe? It’s a dilemma...
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CryptoHistoryClass
· 12-01 20:14
ah yes, the 1:400 funnel—literally just dot-com bubble mechanics repackaged with blockchain branding. history rhymes, as they say. we're speedrunning the entire cycle this time around tho, which is... concerning if you've actually studied the charts from 2000.
Honestly? This whole thing is moving way faster than anyone expected.
Here's the reality check on how dApp ecosystems actually scale: You need roughly 20 apps just to find one decent one. Then you need 20 of those decent apps before one actually generates real revenue. Do the math—that's basically a 1:400 ratio.
But wait, there's more. Once you've got 20 revenue-generating apps, maybe—just maybe—one of them breaks out and becomes something significant.
The funnel is brutal, but that's how innovation works. Most projects fade. Some survive. A rare few actually thrive.
And judging by what's happening right now? We're hitting those milestones faster than the traditional playbook suggested. The pace is wild.