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Don't remind me again today

In the last couple of days, checking the account has been a real heart-racing experience. The green Candlesticks are everywhere, and my frens are all howling in despair. Some have evaporated tens of thousands in a single day, and they have gone straight into sage mode.



But to be honest, I am not surprised by this round of plunge. Two bombs have long been buried there.

First, let's talk about the first point— the U.S. Treasury is frantically dumping bonds, injecting hundreds of billions of dollars into the market. Think about it, as soon as the yield on government bonds rises, funds are immediately siphoned away. The liquidity was already tight, and now it’s even tighter. Without funds to support it, can a high-volatility asset like Bitcoin avoid a plunge?

The second one is even harsher, and the expectation of interest rate cuts has completely cooled down. Previously, the market still fantasized that the Federal Reserve would ease up, but once the data came out, the dream was shattered. Panic emotions spread like a virus, with leveraged positions and short-term traders fleeing frantically, amplifying the stampede effect.

But everyone, calm down.

This is really not a bear market signal, but more like a combination effect of short-term liquidity withdrawal and emotional collapse. I experienced the bloodbath of 312 in 2020, where Bitcoin halved, and the contract market directly saw billions of dollars in liquidations. At that time, a bunch of people in the group said they wanted to exit the circle, and I advised them not to panic. As a result, half a year later, many people had multiplied their accounts several times.

History doesn't repeat itself, but it often rhymes. In times of panic, it's often when smart money begins to take action.

The most frightening thing now is scaring yourself and cutting losses recklessly. That's not a stop-loss; that's handing your head to the main force. Remember three principles: maintain your current position, patiently wait for market signals, and don't blindly catch the bottom. Only those with stable emotions can find opportunities in chaos.
BTC3.31%
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BearMarketSurvivorvip
· 17h ago
I was there during that time, really, this wave is nothing at all. --- It's the same old siphoning Liquidity routine, I'm tired of it. --- Leverage positions getting trampled, retail investors screaming, it's an old script. --- Scaring yourself is the most fatal, while cutting loss the market maker is laughing. --- The interest rate cut dream has indeed shattered, but that doesn't mean the story is over. --- Those whose mentality has collapsed are currently shifting blame in the group, while the Satoshi are lying in ambush. --- Tight Liquidity does not equal the Bear Market is coming, don't confuse them. --- Watching the account turn green is harder than watching the Candlestick. --- It's rare to multiply several times in half a year, I just want to stabilize and avoid losses. --- The most feared is emotional trading, that's truly giving away money.
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EyeOfTheTokenStormvip
· 17h ago
I was in that wave too, no need to say much, now is the time to test psychological quality. --- Another wave of Cut Loss warriors has appeared, it's always like this, panic selling leads to dumping, while smart money feasts. --- The analysis of Liquidity extraction is on point, but the issue is no one can say where the bottom is, I'm going to reduce position first and then look for signals. --- Don't talk to me about historical rhymes, I only believe in the technical support level. We'll talk if it breaks. --- Those who dare to buy the dip in this market are either experts or suckers, there's no third option in between. --- The treasury yield is indeed a variable, but if the Fed really wants to change direction, the capital will flow back quickly. The key is to watch the subsequent data. --- Looking at the green Candlestick, I'm not panicking, I just feel this drop is too fast, and the rebound will be strong. --- Stabilizing your position is useless, you need to see what signals the quantitative model gives, blindly holding on will only lead to a worse outcome.
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MoonMathMagicvip
· 17h ago
312 I have experienced that too, it really caught me off guard that time. This one is much milder than that, don't overinterpret.
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LeekCuttervip
· 17h ago
312 I was also in that wave, what does this count as, panicking for nothing Those who Cut Loss are just counting money for the market maker, I choose to continue lying down The tight Liquidity situation is indeed harsh, but the Bear Market should have come a long time ago Looking at this rhetoric, the original poster is advising people not to panic, but actually they are also buying the dip, right? The siphoning of national debt this time is indeed hardcore, but Bitcoin is just like that, fluctuations are normal operations Doubling in six months? Why do I feel like that's just survivor bias?
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WalletDetectivevip
· 17h ago
Survived that time in 312, what's a little plummet... But speaking of which, how many people really held on today?
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