Track real-time hotspots in the crypto world and seize the best trading opportunities. Today is Tuesday, December 2, 2025. I am Wang Yibo! Good morning, crypto friends☀ Daily attendance👍 Like and make big profits🍗🍗🌹🌹,

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On Monday, the three major U.S. stock indices collectively closed lower, with the Dow down 0.89%, the Nasdaq down 0.38%, and the S&P 500 index down 0.53%. Most popular tech stocks fell, and cryptocurrency concept stocks led the declines. According to CME's "FedWatch": the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 87.6%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 12.4%. The probability of the Fed cumulatively cutting rates by 25 basis points by January next year is 69.3%, with a 9.3% chance of keeping rates unchanged, and a 21.3% chance of a cumulative cut of 50 basis points. Yesterday, the crypto market experienced a significant decline, with a sharp drop across the board. In the new round of accelerated decline, nearly $1 billion in leveraged positions were liquidated. Additionally, attention should be paid to the impact of Powell's speech at 9 a.m. today on the market. Yi Bo will continue to track core signals such as the implementation of Fed policies, institutional capital flows, and on-chain data changes, and will update layout strategies and target dynamics in real-time.

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Since Bitcoin touched 91,955 USD on Sunday evening, it has officially begun a volatile downward trend. It opened at 90,500 USD at 8:00 AM yesterday, and the market experienced a violent drop, reaching around 85,570 USD by midday. After that, a slight rebound occurred, peaking at 86,880 USD before facing downward pressure again. In the early morning hours, Bitcoin dipped to a low of 83,780 USD, followed by a gentle rebound, with the current price oscillating around 86,500 USD. From a four-hour chart perspective, the market has consistently been in a unilateral downtrend, and the several rebounds during this period have failed to alter the overall weak pattern. More critically, during the rebound, the trading volume has shown a continuous shrinking trend, which directly reflects a lack of sufficient capital momentum to support the bulls' counterattack; the so-called rebound is merely a technical breather under the bearish trend. This weak rebound pattern with volume-price divergence has clear guiding significance, indicating that after a short-term adjustment, the market will most likely continue its original downward trajectory. Investors should not misinterpret the periodic rebound as a signal for a trend reversal, as blindly chasing long positions carries extremely high risks.

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Ethereum has also fallen into a volatile pullback since reaching a high of $3052 on Sunday. Yesterday morning, the bearish forces accelerated, causing the price to directly break below the key support level of $2800, and then entered a small structural consolidation box. During the evening session, influenced by fluctuations in the U.S. stock market, Ethereum’s downward momentum strengthened again, dropping to a low of around $2710, with a slight rebound appearing in the early morning hours, and the price currently hovering back around $2800. From a technical indicator perspective, the MACD indicator shows that while the bearish energy bars are showing a marginal reduction trend, they are still deep in the low range and continue to hover, with no effective volume signals indicating a stop to the decline. This means that the market's bearish forces have not been fully released, and the bulls face significant resistance in organizing an effective counterattack. The current market lacks the core conditions to form a substantial reversal, with significant limitations on both the height and sustainability of any rebounds, and it is highly likely to maintain low-level consolidation in the short term, making it difficult to quickly return to the previous high point range.